The New York Knicks will look to continue their recent dominance over the Miami Heat when they meet in an Eastern Conference matchup on Wednesday. The Knicks (42-31), who are 2-0 against Miami this season, are 28-17 against East teams in 2022-23. The Heat (39-34), who are 6-4 in their last 10 games, are 24-13 on their home court this season. New York is 22-14 in road games this year, which is the fourth-best away record in the NBA. Kyle Lowry (knee) and Caleb Martin (knee) are questionable for Miami.
The game from Miami-Dade Arena will tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Knicks are averaging 115.4 points per game this season, tied for 13th-best in the league, while the Heat average 109, 30th-best. Miami is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Knicks vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points is 224.5. Before making any Heat vs. Knicks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 23 of the 2022-23 NBA season a stunning 69-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Heat and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Heat vs. Knicks:
- Knicks vs. Heat spread: Heat -1.5
- Knicks vs. Heat over/under: 224.5 points
- Knicks vs. Heat money line: Knicks +105, Heat -125
- NY: The Knicks are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game
- MIA: The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a road winning % of greater than .600
- Knicks vs. Heat picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Heat can cover
Guard Tyler Herro has reached double-digit scoring in each of his last 11 games, including a 29-point, eight-rebound and six-assist effort against the Knicks on March 3. In 59 games, Herro is averaging 20.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists in 35.3 minutes of action. He has scored 10 or more points 53 times, including 20 or more 31 times. Herro continues to come up clutch when needed most and is 40 of 40 from the free-throw line in the fourth quarter this season.
Shooting guard Max Strus has played well against the Knicks this season. In two meetings with New York, Strus is averaging 11 points and two assists. He scored 20 points in Saturday's loss at Chicago. For the season, he has scored 10 or more points 45 times this year, including 10 with 20 or more, and one with 30 or more. In 71 games, including 28 starts, Strus is averaging 11.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists in 28.9 minutes of action.
Why the Knicks can cover
Power forward Julius Randle is coming off a monster game in which he poured in 57 points and grabbed four rebounds in the loss to Minnesota. He has scored 20 or more points in the last four games, and has led the Knicks in scoring 25 times. He has grabbed 10 or more rebounds in 40 games, and has registered 40 double-doubles on the year. In 72 games, all starts, he is averaging 25.2 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists.
Point guard Jalen Brunson is coming off his fourth double-double of the season, scoring 23 points and dishing out 10 assists in Monday's loss. In one game against the Heat in 2022-2023, Brunson scored 25 points, dished out eight assists and grabbed two rebounds and had two steals. He has scored 20 or more points in 15 of his last 18 games. In 64 games, all starts, Brunson is averaging 23.8 points, 6.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds.
How to make Heat vs. Knicks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 228 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who Knicks vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
