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  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +654
    (57%)
    63-48 in Last 111 NFL Picks
    MIA
    -139
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 10 @ 11:03am

    Analysis

    The Commanders have lost five straight, the last four all coming by at least 21 points. Washington gave up 8.0 yards per play in Sunday's 44-22 home loss to Detroit. While Miami has a ton of flaws, the Dolphins are getting great performances from De'Von Achane (5.5 ypc, 9 total TDs) and Jaylen Waddle. It's also clear this team is playing hard for Mike McDaniel. Miami is 3-7 with three heartbreaking losses on its resume. Look for the Dolphins to finally string together two wins in a row.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +152
    (61%)
    51-33 in Last 84 NFL Picks
    MIA
    -140
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 10 @ 11:05am

    Analysis

    Game at historic Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain on Sunday morning. Washington has completely and utterly quit on a five-game skid and dropping the past four by at least 21 points each. That is tied for the longest streak within a season by any team since 1970. And now the 'Ders will be without one of their best defenders in tackle Daron Payne as he was suspended one game after punching Lions receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown on Sunday. Boy did Dan Quinn lose this team fast, although I'm sure 90% of this is just the Jayden Daniels injury shell-shock. Miami showed some fight Sunday with a shock upset of Buffalo. It is the "home" team here if it matters.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +2813
    (58%)
    110-80-1 in Last 191 NFL Picks
    MIN -2.5
    -120
    Spread
    Picked: Nov 10 @ 10:05am

    Analysis

    The Bears are 6-1 in their last seven games, but several were by razor-thin margins, including needing two TDs in the final four minutes to beat the Giants at home. The Chicago defense is far from good, and that gives J.J. McCarthy a chance to finally get in rhythm after two surprisingly solid games against good defenses. The Vikings averaged 6 yards per play against Baltimore despite Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison only catching seven of 23 targets, and they should bounce back in this matchup. The Vikings defense played solid despite the final score last week, and I expect the pass rush to give Caleb Williams major issues. By ratings this line should be at least 3, but I'd lay up to 4.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +2813
    (58%)
    110-80-1 in Last 191 NFL Picks
    SEA +3
    -118
    Spread
    Picked: Nov 10 @ 2:27pm

    Analysis

    A massive matchup with NFC playoff implications as the upstart Seahawks battle the Rams' offensive machine, but I like getting three points with Seattle. The Rams defense can shut down bad offenses but has looked mediocre in both 49ers games, and I wonder how effective they'll be at slowing down Seattle. Of course, the Seahawks defense faces a similar challenge, but since I have these teams with the same rating and the Rams certainly don't get three points for home field, I feel like I have to grab the full field goal while it's available, especially knowing any negative Davante Adams injury news will have Seahawks backers moving quickly.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +2813
    (58%)
    110-80-1 in Last 191 NFL Picks
    KC -3.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Nov 10 @ 10:10am

    Analysis

    The Broncos are on a seven-game winning streak, but their offense has looked horrendous for the better part of four of the last five weeks. A negative-2 yard FG drive was what broke a 7-7 tie at home against a bad Raiders defense on short rest after a long OT game, a spot where Denver should've racked up points. There's no confidence in Bo Nix to go downfield, and I don't know how they score points against a Chiefs team that has had to sit with a loss to Buffalo for two weeks. Andy Reid knows he has to have this game to get back in the divisional race, and I wouldn't be surprised if this turned into an easy win if Nix doesn't progress.

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