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Highlights
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Padres vs DodgersPadres vs Dodgers
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Today's Top Free Expert Picks
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Sia NejadCounselor of Cash
MLB
PHI @ KC • Mon 2:10pm
PHI -0.5-114First 5 Innings Run LinePicked: Jul 5 @ 11:28pmAnalysis
Scoring runs isn't exactly a strength of the Royals and on Monday they're up against Christopher Sanchez. Sanchez hasn't been great over his last two road starts, but I expect that to change against the Royals bats. As for the Phillies bats, they should be just fine against Noah Cameron who has been particularly bad over his last four starts. Expect the Phillies to cash in on Cameron and bounce back after Sunday's loss. -
Angelo Magliocca+157(71%)5-2 in Last 7 MLB Game Props Picks
MLB
PHI @ KC • Mon 2:10pm
PHI -0.5-116First 5 Innings Run LinePicked: Jul 6 @ 8:00amAnalysis
Worth at least 0.5u... We get a Monday matinee in KC, and I'll back Cristopher Sanchez over Noah Cameron. I'm seeing some value on the Phillies to lead after five innings at this price, despite their offense being worse against lefties. Noah Cameron wasn't great even before the Rays crushed him over the previous two starts and the Phillies were actually improving vs. lefties early in June before a few rough games of late. JT Realmuto hit a home run on Saturday, then sat yesterday, so he should be back in there and I like the lineup better with him behind the plate. It's a slight edge in terms of offensive splits for KC, but I'd rather take the far better pitcher. -
Prop Bet Guy#1
+1803(74%)29-10 in Last 39 MLB Player Props Picks
MLB
PHI @ KC • Mon 2:10pm
N. CameronUnder 16.5-105Outs RecordedPicked: Jul 6 @ 10:29amAnalysis
DraftKings. Noah Cameron is under this line in 10/16 starts this season. This includes each of his last four outings, in which he’s pitched to a 9.00 ERA, while allowing a gaudy 2.22 WHIP. He’ll face off against the Phillies who’ve been hot of late (.797 OPS over the last week). Facing a lefty is the weaker side of the platoon for the Phillies, typically, but Cameron has struggled against southpaws this season (.873 OPS allowed) which should bode well for Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper. Cameron has also been torched after the first time through the order, and worse at home (5.44 ERA, 8.5% walk rate, under this line in 7/9 starts). -
Matt Severance#2
+1466.5(67%)88-43 in Last 131 MLB ML Picks
MLB
NYM @ ATL • Mon 7:15pm
ATL-125Money LinePicked: Jul 5 @ 7:44pmAnalysis
Pretty cheap number on the Braves. Feel like the books are pricing New York's Freddy Peralta like he is the 2025 excellent version of himself with Milwaukee. He has been an abject disappointment with the Mets at 5-7 with a 4.81 ERA. In three of his past five starts, Peralta has allowed at least five runs. On the road, his ERA is 6.06. Atlanta's Reynaldo Lopez (4-1, 3.31 ERA) is usually pretty solid. No Mets have done much off him career. -
Jeff HochmanWest Coast Wiseguy
MLB
COL @ LAD • Mon 10:10pm
F. FreemanOver 1.5-105BasesPicked: Jul 6 @ 5:07amAnalysis
Colorado Rockies left-hander Kyle Freeland has had a tough season, coming into this game with a 7.25 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. He leans heavily on his fastball, cutter and curveball, using those pitches nearly 70 percent of the time. Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman matches up well—his expected slugging against those pitches is .653, .718 and .527. Freeland has managed to keep Freeman in check before (.341 slugging), but that was earlier in his career. Tonight is Freddie Freeman Bobblehead Night at Dodger Stadium, and Freeman has a gift for rising to the occasion on these special nights, going deep in both 2023 and 2025. The warm July air in Los Angeles should only help hitters, making extra-base hits more likely. -
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