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  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    +70
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB ATS Picks
    USC +8.5
    -116
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 11 @ 4:13pm

    Analysis

    We're finally seeing the real Alijah Arenas at USC, and what all the hype was about, as it's all come together in the last two games for Arenas, with 29 points against Indiana and 24 against Penn State, scoring the winning bucket in the last second vs. the latter. Those were both wins, too, important for Eric Musselman's side that is hanging in on the safe side of the Big Dance cut-line in most projections into this week. It's perhaps more crucial for Selection Sunday hopes on the Buckeyes' side, but their Big Ten pattern has been rather predictable, beating the sides beneath them in the table and losing to the ones above, such as Sunday when Michigan rolled by 21 at Columbus. Play USC
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    West Coast Wiseguy
    FLA -7.5
    -109
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 10 @ 11:07pm

    Analysis

    Florida ranks 13th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjO) and 6th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjD), making them a championship contender. They score 124.2 points per 100 possessions and play elite defense, allowing them to control games. Georgia, meanwhile, is 34th in AdjO but just 62nd in AdjD, making their defense a weakness. Florida’s diverse offense, with Rueben Chinyelu inside and Thomas Haugh outside, should overwhelm Georgia’s limited defensive personnel. The absence of Georgia guard Jeremiah Wilkinson (Illness)—their leader at 17.1 PPG and 1.8 SPG—magnifies this edge. With Wilkinson out, Georgia’s offense drops by about 8.4 points per 100 possessions. Florida’s non-conference schedule ranks 35th in difficulty, while Georgia’s is way down at 335. I think Florida gets the season sweep and covers this number.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #3
    +1380
    (67%)
    28-14 in Last 42 NCAAB ML Picks
    MERCER
    -149
    Money Line
    Picked: Feb 11 @ 7:42am

    Analysis

    Mercer has lost back-to-back SoCon games but those were away. The Bears haven't lost a home game overall at 11-0 SU (7-1 ATS). I generally love playing conference rematches between evenly matched teams because those series often split (and often the home teams sweep). Furman won the first this season but by only two at home. In conference play, the Paladins are near the bottom in the SoCon in scoring at 74.8 points per game. They are on a two-game skid as well.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +1112
    (57%)
    88-66 in Last 154 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    R. Kalkbrenner
    Over 9.5
    +102
    Points
    Picked: Feb 11 @ 8:18am

    Analysis

    FanDuel. I’ll jump on this Ryan Kalkbrenner line early. With Moussa Diabete (and Miles Bridges) overwhelmingly likely to be suspended for tonight’s game for his part in the brawl against the Pistons on Monday, Kalkbrenner should assume the starting center role. He’ll have a nice matchup against an undersized Haws frontcourt that ranks 24th in points in the paint allowed, and 26th in assists to the rim.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +118
    (56%)
    10-8 in Last 18 NCAAB ATS Picks
    VATECH +8.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 11 @ 11:21am

    Analysis

    Virginia Tech has lost three of four and remains without Tyler Johnson for this critical matchup at Clemson. But the Hokies have a knack for keeping things competitive, especially on the road where they've covered six straight. Clemson has Duke on deck Saturday. Look for Hokies guard Ben Hammond, who went scoreless on 0-for-9 shooting Saturday at NC State, to bounce back to his usual form (12.3 ppg) as Virginia Tech keeps it close.

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