The 2023 New Mexico Bowl features the New Mexico State Aggies (10-4) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) battling on Saturday.  The Bulldogs have dominated the series against the Aggies, logging a 7-1 record all-time. The most recent matchup happened in 2019 with Fresno State winning 30-17. Fresno State dropped its final three games of the season, while New Mexico State lost in the Conference USA title game to Liberty, but did win its previous eight games, including an upset of Auburn during that span.

Kickoff from University Stadium in Albuquerque is set for 5:45 p.m. ET. The Aggies are 3-point favorites in the latest Fresno State vs. New Mexico State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 52. Before making any New Mexico State vs. Fresno State picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from proven college football expert Mike Tierney

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered football for decades. Tierney is an amazing 10-2 on his last 12 college football picks in games involving Fresno State, returning $780. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he has set his sights on New Mexico State vs. Fresno State and just revealed his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several college football odds and trends for New Mexico State vs. Fresno State

  • New Mexico State vs. Fresno State spread: Aggies -3
  • New Mexico State vs. Fresno State over/under: 52 points  
  • New Mexico State vs. Fresno State money line: Aggies -164, Bulldogs +138
  • NMSU: Has hit the game total Under in 7 of last 9 away games 
  • FRES: Has hit the 1H game total Under in 5 of last 7 games at home 
  • New Mexico State vs. Fresno State picks: See picks at SportsLine 
  • New Mexico State vs. Fresno State live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why New Mexico State can cover

The Aggies have an impressive collection of playmakers on offense. Sophomore receiver Jonathan Brady generates productive plays consistently. Brady runs good routes and has the speed to stretch the field vertically. The Nevada native leads the team in receptions (37) and receiving yards (613) with four touchdowns. In his last game, Brady recorded four catches for 95 yards and one score.

Junior Trent Hudson is another effective pass-catcher. Hudson has the size (6'3) to bring down those contested catches and be an asset in the red zone. The Texas native leads the team in touchdowns (10) with 35 receptions and 551 receiving yards. In the CUSA Championship Game against Liberty, Hudson snagged seven passes for 112 yards and two scores. See which team to pick here.

Why Fresno State can cover

Junior running back Malik Sherrod produces positive yardage consistently for the Bulldogs offense. The California native had 152 carries for 876 yards and nine touchdowns this season. In his last outing, Sherrod had 138 yards and two scores. This was his fourth game on the season with at least 100 rushing yards.

Freshman receiver Jalen Moss has been a reliable weapon within the offense. Moss uses his strong hands to snag passes at its highest point. The California native amassed 51 receptions for 630 yards and five touchdowns. Senior receiver Mac Dalena creates separation with ease and has a great understanding of the offense. In 2023, Dalena racked up 44 receptions for 498 yards and three touchdowns. He's piled up at least 60 receiving yards in four outings thus far. See which team to pick here.

How to make New Mexico State vs. Fresno State picks

Tierney has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning Over on the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins New Mexico State vs. Fresno State, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the New Mexico State vs. Fresno State spread hits hard, all from the expert on an impressive 10-2 run on picks involving Fresno State, and find out.