The Boise State Broncos welcome the Utah State Aggies to Albertsons Stadium on Friday. Boise State has clinched a spot in the Mountain West title game with a 7-0 conference record this season. The Broncos are 8-3 overall and facing a Utah State team that is 6-5. The Aggies are 5-2 against Mountain West foes, and Utah State has won five of the last six games overall.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Broncos as 17-point home favorites for this noon ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 51.5 in the latest Utah State vs. Boise State odds. Before making any Boise State vs. Utah State picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model has to say.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. Boise State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Boise State vs. Utah State:

  • Utah State vs. Boise State spread: Boise State -17 
  • Utah State vs. Boise State over/under: 51.5 points 
  • Utah State vs. Boise State money line: BSU -800, USU +550 
  • USU: The Aggies are 4-3 against the spread in the last seven games 
  • BSU: The Broncos are 5-2 against the spread in the last seven games 
  • Utah State vs. Boise State: See picks at SportsLine 
  • Utah State vs. Boise State streaming: Paramount+
Featured Game | Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies

Why Utah State can cover

The Aggies have solid offensive metrics on their side. Utah State is in the top five of the Mountain West in total offense, generating more than 350 yards per game, and the Aggies are also averaging 162.1 rushing yards per contest. Calvin Tyler Jr. is the engine of the ground game, producing 978 rushing yards (No. 3 in Mountain West) and 128 receiving yards this season. On the outside, Brian Cobbs is No. 4 in the conference with 769 receiving yards, and he has 63 receptions this season. 

On the other side, Utah State is particularly stingy in passing defense. The Aggies are allowing only 196.5 passing yards per game, and opponents are averaging only 6.8 yards per pass attempt while completing only 53.1% of passes. Utah State has 11 interceptions and 22 sacks in 11 games, putting constant pressure on the opposition.

Why Boise State can cover

Boise State arguably has the best defense in the Mountain West this season, and the Broncos are also very strong on offense. Boise State is in the top three of the conference in total offense (383.1 yards per game) and scoring offense (29.1 points per game), and the Broncos are generating 188.8 rushing yards per game. Boise State has the second-most rushing touchdowns (23) in the Mountain West, averaging 4.8 yards per carry in the process. The Broncos are in the top five in passing yards per game, and Boise State has yielded only 13 sacks in 11 games. 

Boise State is a top-three team in third down efficiency (39.7%), and Utah State is in the bottom three of the conference in total defense and rushing defense while giving up only 29.5 points per game. Quarterback Taylen Green has six touchdowns and no interceptions in the last four games, averaging 238.5 passing yards per game and producing three scores on the ground. Running back George Holani has at least 100 rushing yards in five of the last six games, and Boise State has a tremendous arsenal of skill players.

How to make Utah State vs. Boise State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, with each team deploying a rusher projected to generate more than 75 yards. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's CFB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Utah State vs. Boise State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Utah State vs. Boise State spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out, and don't forget to stream on Paramount+.