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USATSI

The North Texas Mean Green aim to avenge a regular season loss on a bigger stage Friday. North Texas lost by a 31-27 margin to the UTSA Roadrunners, and the teams will meet in a rematch in the 2022 Conference USA Championship Game. North Texas is 7-5 this season, including a 6-2 mark in conference action and five wins in the last seven games. UTSA is 8-0 against Conference USA opponents with a 10-2 mark overall and nine straight wins.

Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Roadrunners are 8.5-point favorites at Caesars Sportsbook. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 70 in the latest North Texas vs. UTSA odds. Before making any UTSA vs. North Texas picks or Conference USA Championship Game 2022 predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on North Texas vs. UTSA and locked in its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting trends for UTSA vs. North Texas:

  • North Texas vs. UTSA spread: UTSA -8.5
  • North Texas vs. UTSA over/under: 70 points
  • North Texas vs. UTSA money line: UTSA -335, North Texas +260
  • NT: The Mean Green are 7-5 against the spread in 2022
  • UTSA: The Roadrunners are 6-6 against the spread in 2022
  • North Texas vs. UTSA picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green

Why North Texas can cover

North Texas is dynamic on offense, with top-three marks in Conference USA in both scoring offense (34.5 points per game) and total offense (472.0 yards per game). North Texas is also in the top four of the conference in both passing offense and rushing offense, with star power at the skill positions. Quarterback Austin Aune engineers the attack, and he threw for more than 300 yards against UTSA earlier this season. 

He has 32 total touchdowns, a top-15 mark in FBS, and Aune helps to lead a passing offense that averages 8.8 yards per attempt. North Texas converts more than 43% of third down chances, and Aune is a veteran with 60 career scores. On the ground, North Texas averages more than five yards per carry, No. 2 in Conference USA, and the Mean Green have three players with at least 550 rushing yards this season.

Why UTSA can cover

UTSA has a true standout at quarterback in Frank Harris. Harris has a 29-7 record as the starting quarterback for the Roadrunners, including a win over North Texas in 2022 with more than 300 total yards. Harris has 89 total touchdowns over the last three seasons, ranking in the top five of FBS, and he has 35 total touchdowns and only seven interceptions in 2022. Harris is also prolific in accumulating yardage, ranking in the top five in FBS with 9,943 total yards since the start of the 2020 season. 

Harris is leading Conference USA in completion rate (69.6%) this season, averaging more than 335 total yards per game in the process. Harris is also flanked by a quality running back in Brenden Brady, who rushed for 112 yards and two touchdowns against North Texas. He also has a top-flight wide receiver in Zakhari Franklin, who has more than 2,000 receiving yards over the last two seasons and 33 career touchdown receptions.

How to make UTSA vs. North Texas picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 74 combined points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in 60% of simulations. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins North Texas vs. UTSA? And which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.