The 2023 Final Four features the No. 4 seed Connecticut Huskies clashing against the No. 5 seed Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes on Saturday night. The Hurricanes are looking to advance to their first ever national championship game. Meanwhile, UConn looks to advance and secure its fifth national title. The Huskies have won each 2023 NCAA Tournament game by at least 15 points thus far. Miami has taken care of business as well, winning all four March Madness games by at least seven points and covering in each matchup.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Huskies as 5.5-point favorites for this 8:49 p.m. ET tip on CBS from NRG Stadium in Houston. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 150 in the latest Miami vs. UConn odds. Before making any UConn vs. Miami picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's Matt Severance.

Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He is SportsLine's top college basketball expert, entering the Final Four on a 172-110-1 (+1931) roll on his picks. He's also on a sizzling 9-0 run on picks involving the Hurricanes. Anyone following him is way up.

Now, he has set his sights on Miami vs. UConn and revealed his picks and predictions for the Final Four 2023. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for UConn vs. Miami:

  • Miami vs. UConn: Huskies -5.5
  • Miami vs. UConn over/under: 150 points
  • Miami vs. UConn money line: Huskies -250, Hurricanes +205
  • MIA: Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall
  • CONN: Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win
  • Miami vs. UConn picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Miami can cover

Sophomore guard Wooga Poplar is an agile and skilled playmaker in the backcourt. Poplar owns good ball handles to break down defenders and create space off the dribble. The Pennsylvania native logs 8.7 points and 3.3 rebounds per game. He's scored in double figures in four of the last five games. On March 26 against the Texas Longhorns, Poplar finished with 16 points, six boards and four assists.

Junior forward Isaiah Wong continues to be one of the best offensive threats on the floor. Wong is creative with the ball due to his fakes and hesitations. The New Jersey native penetrates the lane with ease and finishes through contact. Wong logs 16.2 points and 3.2 assists per game. He has scored at least 20 points in two of his last three games. On March 24 against the Houston Cougars, Wong dropped 20 points, six boards and three assists. And while it appears that he'll play, UConn guard Jordan Hawkins has been battling an illness and might not be 100%. See which side to back here.

Why UConn can cover

Junior forward Adama Sanogo continues to be a beast in the paint for the Huskies. Sanogo has the ability to dominate the boards, defend the rim well and be a smooth offensive weapon. The native of Mali has a soft touch in the lane and is able to overpower opponents. He leads the squad in both points (17.1) and rebounds (7.5). Sanogo has supplied a double-double in three of his last five games. In his last outing against Gonzaga, he notched 10 points and 10 boards.

Junior guard Andre Jackson Jr. impacts the game in multiple different ways. Jackson Jr. is an explosive athlete who has a quick first step and can get into the lane with ease. The New York native has good court vision as a passer and constantly fights to pull down boards. He averages 6.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. In the Elite Eight win over Gonzaga, Jackson Jr. dropped eight points, nine rebounds and 10 assists. See which side to back here.

How to make Miami vs. UConn picks

Severance has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning Under the point total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

Who wins UConn vs. Miami on Saturday? And which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Severance's Miami vs. UConn picks, all from the expert who is crushing college basketball, and find out.