Los Angeles FC will be looking for some magic at home Sunday when they host Leon in the second leg of the Concacaf Champions League final. Leon won the first leg 2-1, but LAFC have been here before with this Liga MX side. The teams faced off in the Concacaf Champions League Round of 16 in 2020, with Leon winning 2-0 at home but LAFC taking a 3-0 second-leg victory to advance. LAFC went on to the final, where they lost to Tigres UANL. They are seeking to become the second straight MLS side to win the title, and just the second since the event began in 2008. The Seattle Sounders became the first when they beat Pumas UNAM last year.
Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET at BMO Stadium in Los Angeles. LAFC are -140 favorites (risk $140 to win $100) in Caesars Sportsbook's latest LAFC vs. Leon odds. Leon are +360 underdogs, a draw is priced at +280 and the over/under for total match goals is 2.5. Before you lock in any Leon vs. LAFC picks, make sure you check out the Concacaf Champions League predictions and best bets from SportsLine soccer insider Jon Eimer.
Eimer is a high-volume bettor who has vast knowledge of leagues and players across the globe. Since joining SportsLine, he has covered the Premier League, Serie A, the FA Cup and much more. He is a stunning 53-24-4 on EPL picks for SportsLine this season and is 139-109-7 on all soccer article picks since the 2022 World Cup. The total return on his article picks in 2023 is almost $3,700 for $100 bettors. Anybody following him is way up.
Now, Eimer has broken down the LAFC vs. Leon matchup from all sides and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Leon vs. LAFC:
- LAFC vs. Leon spread: LAFC -0.5 (-135)
- LAFC vs. Leon over/under: 2.5 goals
- LAFC vs. Leon money line: LAFC -140, Leon +360, Draw +280
- LAFC: LAFC have scored at least two goals in five of six home games
- LEON: Leon conceded one goal or fewer in 14 of 17 Clausura matches in Liga MX
- LAFC vs. Leon picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back LAFC
LAFC have done this before against Leon, and they are one of the top teams in MLS. Leon have been a middling Liga MX side this season, posting the seventh-most points over the two mini seasons in 2022-23. The visitors had three draws and two losses in their final six matches of the recently-concluded Clausura. LAFC have one loss and four draws in 12 league matches this season, scoring 23 goals and conceding 10. They are 5-1-0 at home, with 15 goals and five allowed.
LAFC opponents have managed 126 shots and 42 on target, both second-fewest in MLS. Goalkeeper John McCarthy has a 77.8 save percentage, compared to 71.6 for Leon's Rodolfo Cota. McCarthy kept LAFC in the match Wednesday, making two excellent stops on clear scoring chances. Denis Bouanga, who kept his team close in aggregate scoring with his 96th-minute goal in the first leg, leads MLS with 10 goals. Stipe Biuk also had some chances, and the 20-year-old has scored twice in five league starts. Captain Carlos Vela (four goals, four assists) and coach Steve Cherundolo will have the team fired up to come up big in front of the home crowd. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back Leon
Leon completely controlled the first leg, taking a 2-0 lead into halftime and generating several more clear chances. They also have history on their side, as Liga MX teams have dominated this competition. Angel Mena, who had three goals and four assists during the 2022-23 league campaigns, was the best player on the field Wednesday. He had a goal and an assist and had another point-blank chance turned away before coming off in the 67th minute. Lucas Di Yorio, who scored a team-high 11 goals during the Liga MX seasons, came off the bench in the first leg.
Di Yorio is likely to be back in the starting 11 on Sunday, and he can team with Mena and Victor Davila (nine goals, four assists) in a dangerous attacking trio. Alfonso Alvarado was up top Wednesday, and the 22-year-old had three goals in his 26 appearances (six starts) during the Liga MX seasons. Leon had seven shots on target Wednesday, while LAFC had three. The Mexican side allowed the third-fewest shots on target (127) and the fifth-fewest overall (414) in Liga MX. Leon also clogs passing lanes, ranking fifth in the league in both blocked passes (260) and tackles won (364). See which team to pick here.
How to make LAFC vs. Leon picks
Eimer has broken down Sunday's Leon vs. LAFC match from every angle. He has two confident best bets, including a strong play on the winner, plus his full breakdown of the Concacaf Champions League matchup. He's only sharing his picks and Concacaf Champions League analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins LAFC vs. Leon in Sunday's Concacaf Champions League final, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Leon vs. LAFC match, all from the soccer expert who is up almost $3,700 on his soccer picks in 2023, and find out.