Top-ranked Jon Rahm comes into the 2023 Mexico Open in a much different place than he was last year, when he won his only tournament of the PGA Tour season. The Spaniard has won four times already in 2022-23, including the Masters, and the Mexico Open 2023 field is even weaker this time around. Tony Finau (No. 16) is the only other top-40 golfer set to tee up Thursday on Vidanta Vallarta's Norman Signature course. Only eight of the top 100 will be in action. Several major champions, including 2019 U.S. Open winner Gary Woodland and 2018 Open champ Francesco Molinari will join the likes of Wyndham Clark, Maverick McNealy and Taylor Pendrith in the 2023 Mexico Open field.
Caesars Sportsbook has Rahm priced as the clear +290 favorite in its latest 2023 Mexico Open odds. Finau is the second choice at +850, well ahead of third favorite Clark (+2100). They are the only golfers shorter than 30-1. Woodland (+3200), Nicolai Hojgaard (+3400), McNealy (+3400), Patrick Rodgers (+3600) and Alex Noren (+3700) are also expected to be among the top contenders in this 2023 Mexico Open field. Before making any 2023 Mexico Open picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Sia Nejad.
Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He's had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets and betting head-to-head matchups. In 2022, he hit six first-round leaders in a 12-week span while peppering in tournament outrights throughout the year.
In 2023, Sportsline debuted "The Early Wedge," and in the first three months of the show, he hit two FRLs and three outright winners. Nejad also had a winning head-to-head record in eight of 10 weeks (including full tournament sweeps on head-to-head plays). He was up more than 70 units over that three-month span.
Now, Nejad has studied the 2023 Mexico Open field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of Nejad's PGA picks and analysis.
Top 2023 Mexico Open expert picks
Shockingly, Nejad is fading McNealy, who is one of the field's most notable players and among the favorites. The former Stanford star appears to have recovered from a shoulder injury that kept him from playing at Pebble Beach and Phoenix, but his game has been ailing. McNealy has three top-10 finishes in 14 events this season, and the most recent came at the Sony Open in January. Nejad says "he's simply not a good course fit," as the Norman layout at Vidanta requires excellence with the driver. McNealy ranks 168th in strokes gained off the tee and 145th in total driving.
On the other hand, Rahm has been dominant in all phases, and Nejad will keep a keen eye on him all week. The price is too steep to back the Spaniard outright, but if he gets off to a slow start, there should be value on him in live betting. Rahm is a perfect fit for most courses, but his power should set him apart at Vidanta. He is 14th in driving distance and 11th in total driving. The 28-year-old is second on approaches from more than 200 yards and leads the tour in strokes gained total and scoring average (68.823), He has seven top-10 finishes this season. See who he is backing at SportsLine.
How to make 2023 Mexico Open golf picks
Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Mexico Open and has tabbed his longshots, including one who comes in at well over 60-1 odds. This golfer hits a ton of greens and is one of the best in this field off the tee. See who it is, and get all the expert's picks, at SportsLine.
So which players should you target or avoid for the 2023 Mexico Open? And which golfer in the Mexico Open 2023 field could bring a monster payday of well over 60-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad's top prop picks for Mexico Open 2023, all from the expert who was up over 70 units on his golf picks in a recent three-month span.
2023 Mexico Open odds, field, top contenders
See Nejad's picks, best bets and predictions here.
Jon Rahm +290
Tony Finau +850
Wyndham Clark +2100
Gary Woodland +3200
Nicolai Hojgaard +3400
Maverick Mcnealy +3400
Patrick Rodgers +3600
Alex Noren +3700
Taylor Pendrith +4100
Byeong Hun An +4800
Emiliano Grillo +5000
Beau Hossler +5000
Stephan Jaeger +5500
Aaron Rai +5500
Ben Martin +5500
Andrew Putnam +5500
Alex Smalley +5500
S.H. Kim +6500
Robby Shelton +6500
Brandon Wu +6500
Garrick Higgo +6500
Will Gordon +7000
Matt Wallace +7500
Mark Hubbard +7500
Luke List +8500
Lee Hodges +8500
Joseph Bramlett +9000
Lanto Griffin +9000
Patton Kizzire +9000
David Lipsky +9000
Francesco Molinari +9000
Chez Reavie +9000
MJ Daffue +9000
Dylan Wu +9000
Nate Lashley +10000
Cameron Champ +10000
Eric Cole +10000
Harry Hall +10000
Kevin Streelman +11000
Ryan Gerard +11000
Akshay Bhatia +11000
Michael Kim +12000
Vincent Norrman +12000
Peter Malnati +12000
Erik Van Rooyen +13000
Harry Higgs +13000
Austin Eckroat +13000
Andrew Novak +13000
Scott Piercy +15000
Jimmy Walker +15000
Charley Hoffman +15000
Kevin Chappell +15000
Greyson Sigg +15000
Adam Long +15000
Lucas Glover +16000
Sean O'Hair +16000
Matthias Schmid +16000
Matthias Schwab +16000
Dylan Frittelli +16000
Doug Ghim +18000
Augusto Nunez +18000
Aaron Baddeley +18000
Ben Taylor +18000
Henrik Norlander +18000
Kevin Tway +21000
Carl Yuan +21000
Brent Grant +22000
