Revenge will be on the minds of the No. 12 seed Richmond Spiders when they square off against the 13th-seeded Massachusetts Minutemen in the first round of the 2023 Atlantic 10 Tournament on Tuesday. Richmond (14-17, 7-11), which is the defending tourney champion, had won three consecutive meetings and eight of nine before suffering an 85-76 loss at UMass on Jan. 25. The Minutemen (15-15, 6-12) closed the regular season with a 71-60 triumph over St. Bonaventure while the Spiders finished with a three-game losing streak after falling 62-60 versus George Mason.

Tipoff at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. The Spiders are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Richmond vs. UMass odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 142. Before making any UMass vs. Richmond picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Richmond vs. UMass and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for UMass vs. Richmond:

  • Richmond vs. UMass spread: Spiders -2.5 
  • Richmond vs. UMass over/under: 142 points 
  • Richmond vs. UMass money line: Spiders -145, Minutemen +122
  • RICH: The Spiders went 2-13 away from home this season, losing their last seven such games 
  • UMASS: The Minutemen have lost eight of their last nine contests away from home 
  • Richmond vs. UMass picks: See picks here

Why Richmond can cover

Tyler Burton is the most dangerous offensive weapon for the Spiders as he finished third in the Atlantic 10 during the regular season with an average of 18.6 points and was sixth in rebounding at 7.5 per contest. The senior forward was one of only three players in the conference to rank in the top 10 of both categories. Burton has scored in double figures in all of Richmond's 31 games this season, the most double-digit performances in the A-10, as he led the team with 17 in Saturday's loss to George Mason.

Burton recorded five double-doubles in 2022-23, including one against UMass in which he scored 20 points and pulled down 10 rebounds. He is one of three players in school history to accumulate 1,500 points (1,583) and 750 rebounds (807). Senior center Noah Quinn had 19 points, five boards and six assists in the loss to the Minutemen while senior forward Isaiah Bigelow added 12 points off the bench.

Why UMass can cover

The Minutemen trailed Richmond by three points in their regular-season meeting before closing with a 12-0 run and ending their three-game losing streak in the all-time series. Freshman guard RJ Luis led UMass in that contest with 23 points along with seven rebounds and five assists while junior forward Matt Cross added 16 points and eight boards. Cross has posted team-leading averages of 12.5 points and 6.2 rebounds in his first season with the Minutemen after spending 2021-22 at Louisville.

Luis recorded 14 points and nine rebounds against St. Bonaventure on Saturday while sophomore guard Rahsool Diggins scored 14 off the bench. UMass has received strong contributions from its reserves as it leads the Atlantic 10 and ranks 13th in the nation with an average of 27.9 bench points. The Minutemen also are excellent on the offensive glass, topping the conference and ranking 14th in the country at 12.9 boards per contest.

How to make Richmond vs. UMass picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Richmond vs. UMass? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the imte? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UMass vs. Richmond spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $1,200 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks, and find out.