Barclays Center hosts the 2023 Atlantic 10 Tournament with an intriguing second round matchup to begin the festivities on Wednesday. The No. 8 seed Davidson Wildcats take on the No. 9 St. Bonaventure Bonnies with the winner advancing to the quarterfinal. Davidson is 4-1 in the last five games, including a win over St. Bonaventure on Feb. 22, and the Wildcats are 15-15 this season. The Bonnies struggled at the end of the regular season, losing six of the final seven games to fall to 14-17 overall.
Tip-off is at 11:30 a.m. ET in Brooklyn. Caesars Sportsbook lists Davidson as a 3-point favorite, while the over/under is 135.5 in the latest St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson odds. Before you make any Davidson vs. St. Bonaventure picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson:
- St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson spread: Davidson -3
- St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson over/under: 135.5 points
- St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson money line: Davidson -165, St. Bonaventure +140
- STB: The Bonnies are 10-8 against the spread in A-10 games
- DVD: The Wildcats are 10-8 against the spread in A-10 games
- St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson picks: See picks here
Why St. Bonaventure can cover
St. Bonaventure is led on offense by junior guard Daryl Banks III, who leads the team with 15.6 points per game this season. Banks III recently exploded for 36 points in a win over St. Joseph's, and he is a dangerous force at the point of attack. St. Bonaventure is also strong in perimeter shooting, making 35.7% of 3-point attempts and 72.3% of free throw attempts this season. The Bonnies can also take advantage of the passive nature of Davidson's defense, as the Wildcats are dead-last in steal rate (7.5%) and block rate (2.7%) during conference play.
On defense, the Bonnies are above-average overall, and opponents are shooting only 30.0% from 3-point range against St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies are also in the top four of the Atlantic 10 in turnover creation rate (20.0%) and steal rate (11.1%). Davidson is a poor 3-point shooting team (32.4%) in conference play, with bottom-five marks in the Atlantic 10 in both offensive rebound rate and free throw rate this season.
Why Davidson can cover
Davidson has projected edges on both sides of the floor in this matchup. Led by Foster Loyer and Sam Mennenga, the Wildcats are above-average in offensive efficiency among Atlantic 10 teams, and Davidson leads the conference with a 16.1% turnover rate and 76.1% shooting at the free throw line. Davidson is above-average nationally in 2-point accuracy and free throw creation, and St. Bonaventure struggles in 2-point defense and free throw prevention.
On the other end, the Wildcats are in the top three of the Atlantic 10 in free throw rate allowed, and Davidson secures 74.9% of available defensive rebounds. Moreover, St. Bonaventure has shortcomings on offense, including a bottom-five overall mark in efficiency during Atlantic 10 play. The Bonnies struggle to below-average metrics in offensive rebound rate (25.0%), turnover rate (18.1%), 2-point accuracy (47.4%), and free throw creation rate.
How to make St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, with nine players projected to score more than eight points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the St. Bonaventure vs. Davidson spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.