The No. 5 Arizona Wildcats look to avenge a blowout road loss nearly three weeks ago to the Oregon Ducks on Thursday night. Arizona, 19-3 (8-3 in the Pac-12), enters off a 95-72 win at Washington. Oregon, 13-9 (7-4 in conference), defeated Utah 68-56 at home last Saturday. Oregon has won 11 of the last 14 matchups between the teams, including an 87-68 victory on January 14th in Eugene. Oregon is 11-11 against the spread, while Arizona is 9-12 ATS thus far in the 2022-23 season.
Tipoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET at the McKale Center. The Wildcats are favored by 8 points in the latest Arizona vs. Oregon odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 151.5. Before entering any Oregon vs. Arizona picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 13 of the season 50-29 on all top-rated college basketball picks, returning more than $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Oregon vs. Arizona. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Arizona vs. Oregon:
- Arizona vs. Oregon spread: Arizona -8
- Arizona vs. Oregon over/under: 150.5 points
- Arizona vs. Oregon money line: Arizona -355, Oregon +278
- Arizona vs. Oregon picks: See picks here
Why Oregon can cover
The Ducks have won four of their last five games, which started with the thrashing of then No. 9 Arizona on January 14th. In that matchup, Oregon out-rebounded the Wildcats 42-32 and shot 53.1% from the field. The Ducks are averaging 70.3 points per game on the season and giving up 66, and their recent hot streak has jumped them into fifth place currently in the Pac-12 Conference standings.
Oregon is led by three double-digit scorers, guard Will Richardson (13.6 PPG), guard Jermaine Couisnard (13.5 PPG), and center N'Faly Dante (13.0 PPG). Richardson's scoring is down from the 14.1 PPG he averaged last season, but that's in part due to a recent slump where he has only topped 13 points in two of his last eight games. Richardson also leads the team in assists per game (5.5) and steals per game (1.7), while Dante averages 7.8 rebounds per contest. For the Ducks to win on Thursday night, they'll have to likely repeat the rebounding advantage over the Wildcats from the last matchup and focus on holding Arizona well-below its 82.9 PPG average.
Why Arizona can cover
After a mid-season slump of sorts results in two losses within a week's time in mid-January, Arizona has bounced back well to sweep its last two Pac-12 weekends. The Wildcats are led by current conference player of the year favorite, forward Azuolas Tubelis, who is averaging 20.0 points and 9.6 rebounds per game. His front court mate Oumar Ballo isn't too far behind, averaging 15.6 points and 9.1 boards per game.
The key to Arizona's success might be guard Kerr Kriisa, though, who leads the conference in assists (5.6 per game) barely over Richardson in second. On the season, he's shooting 38.3% from the field and 37% from 3-point range while averaging 11.2 PPG. In the Wildcats' three losses, he's averaged 18.8% from the field and 16% from beyond the 3-point line. If Kriisa shoots to his season averages, Arizona is going to be very difficult to beat going forward in 2023.
How to make Oregon vs. Arizona picks
The model has simulated Oregon vs. Arizona 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Oregon vs. Arizona? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Arizona vs. Oregon spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 50-29 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.