The App. State Mountaineers and the Texas State-San Marcos Bobcats are set to square off in their lone meeting this season on Thursday night. App. State has lost three of its last four games, but it is getting set for its first home game in nearly two weeks. Texas State has lost four of its last five games, including a 70-68 loss to Old Dominion last Saturday.  

Tipoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. The Mountaineers are favored by 4 points in the latest Appalachian State vs. Texas State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 122. Before entering any Texas State vs. Appalachian State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 15 of the season 66-38 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season, returning almost $1,700 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Appalachian State vs. Texas State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Appalachian State vs. Texas State:

  • App. State vs. Texas State spread: App. State -4
  • App. State vs. Texas State over/under: 122 points
  • App. State vs. Texas State  money line: App. State -190, Texas State +158
  • App. State vs. Texas State picks: See picks here
Featured Game | App. State Mountaineers vs. Texas State-San Marcos Bobcats

Why Texas State can cover

Texas State continues to play close games, with each of its last three contests being decided by four points or less. The Bobcats picked up a 66-62 win over Arkansas State last Thursday before coming up just short in a 70-68 final against Old Dominion. They have already recorded six road victories this season, pulling off upsets against Rhode Island and California in non-conference play. 

Senior guard Mason Harrell leads Texas State with 15.9 points, 3.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He has scored in double figures in four straight games and has reached the 20-point mark on eight occasions this season. The Bobcats have won five of the last seven meetings between these teams. 

Why Appalachian State can cover

Appalachian State will be excited to return home for the first time in 12 days, as it split a two-game road trip last week. The Mountaineers have been much better at home than on the road this season, and this will be their penultimate game at the Holmes Convocation Center. Texas State has lost four of its last five games and is coming off another heartbreaking loss, making this a tough scheduling spot for the Bobcats. 

They are winless in their last four road games, with two of those setbacks coming by nine-plus points. Appalachian State's balanced lineup is led by senior forward Donovan Gregory, who is averaging 12.0 points, 4.3 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game. Senior guard Tyree Boykin (11.2) and sophomore guard Terence Harcum (11.0) are both scoring in double figures as well. 

How to make Appalachian State vs. Texas State picks

The model has simulated Texas State vs. Appalachian State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Appalachian State vs. Texas State? And which side of the spread is hitting over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 66-38 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.