One team will advance to Monday's national championship game, and one team's season will come to a crushing end when the Connecticut Huskies and Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes collide in the 2023 Final Four on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Huskies (29-8) are appearing in the Final Four for the sixth time in program history. They have won the title four times (1999, '04, '11 and '14). Meanwhile the Hurricanes (29-7) are playing in their inaugural Final Four. The winner of Saturday's game will face either San Diego State or FAU for the title. 

Tipoff will take place on CBS after the first semifinal ends, at approximately 8:49 p.m. ET. The Huskies are favored by 5.5 points in the latest UConn vs. Miami odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 149. Before making any Miami vs. UConn picks or Final Four predictions, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the Final Four of the 2023 NCAA Tournament 85-54 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also went 6-1 on top-rated picks during the first two weeks of March Madness. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UConn vs. Miami and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the Final Four 2023. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Miami vs. UConn:

  • UConn vs. Miami spread: Huskies -5.5
  • UConn vs. Miami over/under: 149 points
  • UConn vs. Miami money line: Huskies -250, Hurricanes +205
  • CONN: The Huskies rank second in the country in rebound margin (9.4 rebounds per game).
  • MIA: The Hurricanes are 11th in the country in free throw percentage (78.0).
  • UConn vs. Miami picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why UConn can cover

UConn is a balanced team that is strong on both ends of the floor. According to, the Huskies rank third in the country in offensive efficiency (120.8 points per 100 possessions) and 11th in defensive efficiency (91.8). Their adjusted efficiency margin of 28.95 leads the nation.

In addition, UConn has a dominant big man in Adama Sanogo. A 6-foot-9, 245-pound junior from Mali, Sanogo leads the Big East in scoring (17.1 points per game) and is fifth in rebounding (7.5). Led by Sanogo, the Huskies are an elite rebounding team, ranking second in the country in rebound margin (9.4 rebounds per game). See who to back at SportsLine.

Why Miami can cover 

Miami faces a UConn team that is uncertain to have Jordan Hawkins at 100%. A 6-foot-5 sophomore guard from Gaithersburg, Md., Hawkins missed the team's open practice on Friday with an illness that the team is describing as a stomach bug. He's expected to play on Saturday, but if he's not full strength, that could be a significant setback for the Huskies. Hawkins has made 104 3-pointers this season, which ranks 14th in the country, and is second in the Big East in 3-point percentage (38.5). His range helps prevent defenses from sagging to defend Sanogo.

Regardless of Hawkins' status, the Hurricanes have the backcourt edge. Miami's threesome of Jordan Miller, Nijel Pack and Isaiah Wong combine to average 45.4 points per game and shoot 47.9% from the field. In the Elite Eight victory over Texas, they combined for 56 points on 18-of-31 shooting (58.1%). See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Miami vs. UConn picks

The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 150 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins UConn vs. Miami? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.