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  • expert headshot
    Mike Tierney
    +82
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB O/U Picks
    Under 138.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Mar 13 @ 4:06pm

    Analysis

    The best two defensive teams in the America East have drawn a sizable total. Both offenses can score but play patiently, with UMBC 286th in shots per game among Division 1 members and Vermont near the bottom at 345th. They allowed 63 and 64 points, respectively, in conference contests. The Catamounts' two tourney outings have resulted in 132 and 117 points, and the finalists' regular season series had games of 119 and 137. It would be a surprise if the rubber match wound up in the 130s.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    +208
    (67%)
    4-2 in Last 6 NCAAB Picks
    Under 165.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Mar 14 @ 12:06am

    Analysis

    I think this line is a bit too high, especially since this is an elimination game, and the offenses aren't as likely to run and gun in the final ten minutes. Yale games have gone under this total in 10 of the last 11 games, while Cornell games have fallen below this total in 5 of the last 7 contests. While this game may be played in the upper 70s, I'm not expecting much more than that.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    +475
    (78%)
    7-2 in Last 9 NCAAB ATS Picks
    YALE -3.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 14 @ 1:33am

    Analysis

    Cornell scores quickly but lacks defense, ranking last in the Ivy League for points allowed (83.2) and near the bottom nationally in Defensive eFG% (55.6%). Yale is built to exploit this, with a strong Offensive eFG% (56.1%, 25th nationally), low turnover rate (14.2%), and dominance on the offensive glass (32.8% ORB%). Cornell’s inability to end defensive possessions (29.9% allowed) further tilts the matchup toward Yale, whose roster averages two inches taller than Cornell. The teams split their season series, each winning at home: Yale dominated the first matchup 102-68, while Cornell narrowly won the rematch 72-69 by hitting 14 threes. Yale gets revenge at Newman Arena. Lay the favorite.
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    #3
    +791
    (60%)
    32-21 in Last 53 NCAAB ATS Picks
    FLA -6.5
    -115
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 13 @ 8:42pm

    Analysis

    I love this spot for Florida now having a game under its belt in the SEC Tournament. This should be a fast paced game and the Gators excel in these matchups. The other issue Vanderbilt has here is its a poor rebounding team. Florida kills teams they can dominate on the boards. I expect the Gators to pull away and win by double digits. I took -6.5 at BetMGM. Play up to -8.5.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #1
    +1566
    (60%)
    56-37 in Last 93 NCAAB Picks
    FLA -6.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 13 @ 10:13pm

    Analysis

    It's Vanderbilt and Florida in the semi-finals of the Southeastern Conference tournament at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville. Florida has won and covered the past two meetings, with both going over the total, but Florida has gone under 20 of their games this season. They might not be as strong as their national championship team from last season, but they're pretty close and sharp. They know how to score, get to the free-throw line, and win. They're getting better each week as a cohesive unit that just won the SEC with a 16-2 record. They have an active streak of 12 wins in a row. Florida to cover.

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