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  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    #5
    +550
    (71%)
    10-4 in Last 14 NCAAB Picks
    IOWA
    -112
    Money Line
    Picked: Jan 11 @ 2:26am

    Analysis

    The early Big Ten slate has broken kindly for the Illini, which in four tries has faced only one top contender, and lost that one (Nebraska). That changes on Sunday at Iowa City as Ben McCollum's Hawkeyes are a top-tier Big Ten entry that looks as if it might carry a major home-court edge all season. Iowa bounced back smartly from losses to top ten Michigan State and Iowa State earlier this season and looks to make amends for the midweek loss at Minnesota when the Hawks nearly recovered from a 14-point deficit to force OT. Expect better shooting on Sunday from Iowa, normally 52% from the floor (just 40% vs. Gophers) and 38% beyond the arc (just 27% vs. Minny). Play Iowa ML
  • expert headshot
    Sia Nejad
    +531
    (60%)
    24-16 in Last 40 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    T. Lawrence
    Over 1.5
    +110
    Pass TDs
    Picked: Jan 5 @ 9:56am

    Analysis

    Well we hit on the "Average" QB Parlay on The Early Edge, in large part due to Trevor Lawrence, so we may as well lean into the bit and to the plus money. In a game with a total north of 50 and against a defense that may have trouble stopping the Jags, I think this price is off. Yes, the path to beating the Bills is through the rush attack, but the Jags should be able to move the ball by air and ground. Trevor and company should find themselves in plus terriorty more often than not and Liam Coen's trust in Trevor's arm is at an all time high.
  • expert headshot
    Will Brinson
    +220
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    T. Lawrence
    YES
    +195
    Anytime TD Scorer
    Picked: Jan 5 @ 10:29am

    Analysis

    Trevor Lawrence just finished the best season of his career, which happens to coincide with him having the best rushing season of his career as well (359 yards, nine rushing scores, the latter nearly double his previous career high). Lawrence had the same number of rushing attempts inside the five (nine) as Jahmyr Gibbs and Saquon Barkley. He trailed only Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts in red-zone rushing attempts. He's a smart, physical and elusive runner near the goal line. And this price is really good in a home playoff game as a slight dog to the Bills, who give up plenty of yards on the ground. We'll sprinkle on two rushing scores as well.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +511
    (59%)
    22-15 in Last 37 NFL Picks
    JAC +1.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 5 @ 10:50am

    Analysis

    Josh Allen gets an AFC field without the Chiefs or Ravens, but I don't see him making it past Jacksonville. That's because the Jaguars look like the best team in the AFC. Their run game should have success against a Bills defense that's allowed 189+ rushing yards six times, and Trevor Lawrence is playing his best football with a 15:1 TD:INT ratio in his last six games. The Bills need an effective rushing attack to have success but the Jaguars have one of the better run defenses in football, ranking first in yards allowed and fifth in yards per rush. Allen needs to be Superman just for the Bills to have a shot, but he's managing a foot injury. Jags win here.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    EC
    JAC
    +102
    Money Line
    Picked: Jan 5 @ 11:45am

    Analysis

    Winners of 9 of their last 10 games, I have a hard time picking against Jacksonville at home. Buffalo’s passing game is devoid of weapons and the Jaguars boast the NFL’s top rush defense to slow Josh Allen and James Cook. While Allen and the Bills are 5-0 in the Wild Card Round since 2020, all five of those games have been at home. Trevor Lawrence has played at an MVP level since November and it will continue this weekend. The Jaguars win on a walkoff Cam Little field goal from 50+ yards. If this result plays out as I anticipate, Sean McDermott won’t be back to coach Buffalo next season. Jaguars 27, Bills 24.

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