Bengals quarterback Jake Browning was one of the biggest surprises last week. Browning went undrafted and after spending time on the Vikings practice squad, he was signed to the Bengals practice squad in 2021. Many expected the Bengals' postseason aspirations to crumble after Joe Burrow (wrist) was injured against the Ravens in Week 11, but Browning may be changing opinions. The 27-year-old completed 32 of 37 passes (86.5%) for 354 yards and a touchdown in a thrilling 34-31 overtime win over the Jaguars last week on Monday Night Football. Can the Browning and Bengals repeat that success against the Colts and come through for anyone backing them in the latest NFL odds?

The Colts are a 1-point favorite on the road according to the latest Week 14 NFL spreads according to the SportsLine consensus. The Colts (7-5) are also relying on their own backup quarterback to keep their playoff hopes alive, with Gardner Minshew taking over for Anthony Richardson (shoulder). Can you feel confident enough in either of these quarterbacks to include them in Week 14 NFL bets? Before you make any Week 14 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-128 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-20 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 31-12 straight-up the last two weeks.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 14. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 14 NFL picks at SportsLine.

Top Week 14 NFL picks

After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the New Orleans Saints (-5) to cover at home against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers have failed to reach 20 points in their last six games and enter on a five-game losing streak. The Saints are coming off a 33-28 loss to the Lions, dropping their third straight contest, but all three games came against teams currently in the NFL playoff picture and the Saints averaged 20.7 points per game over those losses.

The Panthers are allowing 22.8 points per game over their last five contests and allowed Tampa Bay to rush for 4.6 yards per carry last week. The Saints rushed for 113 yards and three touchdowns last week as they find more ways to form creativity in their offense. The model projects the Saints to rush for more than 100 yards against the Panthers, a key reason why the Saints cover the spread in almost 60% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.

How to make Week 14 NFL parlays

The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including two favorites that cover with ease. You can only see the model's NFL Week 14 best bets and parlay at SportsLine

What are the model's top Week 14 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 14 NFL best bets from a model on a 176-128 run on top-rated picks, and find out.