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For the vast majority of players in Fantasy Football we should still be leaning into their 2024 expectations while slowly factoring in their 2024 production. This process will continue until we get to Week 5 when their production in this current year will finally be more productive than past years and ADP. But with rookies, we don't have any prior production to fall back on, only ADP. So the needle can move quickly in terms of perception. That's made even more interesting by the wild swings we've seen in production.

In Week 1 Marvin Harrison was an enormous disappointment, Malik Nabers was a WR3, Xavier Worthy scored two touchdowns, and Ladd McConkey looked like the Chargers. In Week 2 McConkey was outplayed by Quentin Johnston, Worthy scored 3.7 Fantasy points, while Nabers and Harrison looked like WR1s. This makes their Week 3 rankings all the more difficult, and their production all the more interesting.

My most interesting watch this week will be Nabers. He goes from the easiest matchup in the league to Browns defense that could cause all kinds of problems for Daniel Jones. If Nabers performs in this spot then he may be ranked in the top 12 all season long. This defense held CeeDee Lamb to 61 yards and Christian Kirk to negative-one yard. They're tied for the third-most sacks and rank top-10 in pressure rate and knockdown rate. 

As of now it's easy to paint Nabers as a boom/bust rookie who will take advantage of the best matchups. It will be very difficult to make that argument if he succeeds in Cleveland.

As always, you can find my full projections -- position by position -- over at Sportsline.

Here is the rest of the Week 3 WR Preview:

Week 3 WR Preview
WR Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play Week 3 at this time. Here's what it means:

PHI Philadelphia • #11
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.
DeVonta will be the lead target as long as Brown is out.
SF San Francisco • #1
Age: 28 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Brandon Aiyuk should see an increase in targets.
LAR L.A. Rams • #10
Age: 31 • Experience: 8 yrs.
We expect Demarcus Robinson and Tyler Johnson to lead this receiving corps, but it won't be the same.
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
  • 16.5 -- Marvin Harrison Jr. has an aDOT of 16.5. That type of profile has huge peaks but a very low floor. 
  • 4.83 -- Rashid Shaheed leads all receivers at 4.83 yards per route run. This entire Saints offense is a lot of fun.
  • 64.7% -- Chris Godwins' slot rate is up to 64.7% and he is dominating in that role. 
  • 51 -- The Washington Commanders are giving up 51 PPR FPPG to opposing receivers. 
  • 12.3 -- Brandon Aiyuk is averaging 12.3 yards per target since the start of 2023, best in the NFL. His target volume should explode with Deebo Samuel out.
  • 20.7% -- Britain Covey had a 20.7% target share in Week 2. It does not appear than Jahan Dotson saw one target.
  • 226.5 -- Andy Dalton has averaged 226.5 yards passing per game in his career. That's a huge upgrade for Diontae Johnson, don't drop him yet.
WR Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
NYG N.Y. Giants • #1
Age: 21 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CLE CLE -3.5 O/U 38.5
OPP VS WR
24th
PROJ PTS
13.3
WR RNK
14th
YTD Stats
REC
15
TAR
25
REYDS
193
TD
1
FPTS/G
20.2
CIN Cincinnati • #5
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs WAS CIN -7.5 O/U 48.5
OPP VS WR
6th
PROJ PTS
7.4
WR RNK
NR
TB Tampa Bay • #13
Age: 31 • Experience: 11 year
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DEN TB -3.5 O/U 39.5
OPP VS WR
29th
PROJ PTS
17.4
WR RNK
16th
YTD Stats
REC
8
TAR
12
REYDS
103
TD
2
FPTS/G
15.2
WR Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 3 Adds (WR Preview)
ATL Atlanta • #1
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs KC KC -3.5 O/U 46.5
OPP VS WR
27th
WR RNK
41st
ROSTERED
28%
YTD Stats
REC
4
TAR
10
REYDS
103
TD
1
FPTS/G
10.2
Through two weeks Mooney has a 19% target share and leads the Falcons with 153 targeted air yards. If Kirk Cousins can build on Week 2, Mooney could be a weekly upside WR3. He should at least be rostered in all leagues that are PPR and start three wide receivers. He also has contingent upside if something happens to Drake London.
ARI Arizona • #4
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DET DET -3 O/U 52.5
OPP VS WR
9th
WR RNK
NR
ROSTERED
21%
YTD Stats
REC
8
TAR
10
REYDS
58
TD
0
FPTS/G
7.1
The Lions have been torched out of the slot the first two weeks of the season. Last week they shut Mike Evans down, but couldn't contain Chris Godwin and we all remember what Cooper Kupp did to them in Week 1. Dortch isn't Godwin or Kupp, but he did lead Arizona wide receivers in targets in Week 1. If Detroit takes away Marvin Harrison and the deep game, Dortch could have a nice PPR day.
LAR L.A. Rams • #18
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs SF SF -7.5 O/U 43.5
OPP VS WR
3rd
WR RNK
NR
ROSTERED
22%
YTD Stats
REC
7
TAR
10
REYDS
99
TD
0
FPTS/G
8.5
This Rams offense could be a complete disaster, but Johnson is at least the number two target in the offense and some weeks he could be number one. He turned seven targets in Week 1 into 12.9 PPR Fantasy points and played 87% of the snaps last week. You could do worse for a desperation flex.
Stashes (WR Preview)
LAC L.A. Chargers • #1
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ PIT PIT -1.5 O/U 35.5
OPP VS WR
8th
WR RNK
NR
ROSTERED
16%
YTD Stats
REC
8
TAR
11
REYDS
89
TD
2
FPTS/G
14.5
A 23-year-old former first round pick tied to Justin Herbert just scored 22.1 PPR Fantasy points in one game. He needs to be rostered just about everywhere and if you don't need a starter this week he is the top waiver wire add at wide receiver. I just don't want to trust him in my starting lineup against a Steelers defense that has completely dominated opposing passing games so far this season. Through two weeks Johnston leads the team in target share, air yards, and end zone targets.
WR Preview
DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
KC Kansas City • #4
Age: 24 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ ATL KC -3.5 O/U 46.5
OPP VS WR
9th
PROJ PTS
17
WR RNK
5th
YTD Stats
REC
12
TAR
15
REYDS
178
TD
1
FPTS/G
17.9
Rice is priced outside of the top 12 wide receivers this week, but projects as my number six wide receiver on the slate. He's averaging 17.9 FPPG on the year and I expect the Isiah Pacheco injury increases his total targets as the Chiefs use short targets to make up for what they lose in the run game.
Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
TB Tampa Bay • #13
Age: 31 • Experience: 11 year
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DEN TB -6.5 O/U 39.5
OPP VS WR
1st
PROJ PTS
17.4
WR RNK
16th
YTD Stats
REC
8
TAR
12
REYDS
103
TD
2
FPTS/G
15.2
Any time you can get an elite wide receiver at a low roster rate, you have to entertain the idea. The reason Evans' roster rate will be so low is because he is facing one of the best corners in the league and he's coming off of a dud. I won't dispute those are valid reasons, and I wouldn't play Evans in cash games, but in GPPs he brings huge upside every week and as a future Hall of Famer he's had plenty of big games against great corners.
WR Preview
Heath's Projections

My full set of Week 3 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 3. Projected stats for all starting wide receivers are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.

Who should you start and sit this week? And which surprising running back could lead you to victory? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 3 Fantasy rankings for every position, plus see which RB comes out of nowhere to crack the top five, all from the model that has outperformed experts big-time.