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The Miami (OH) RedHawks (10-2, 7-1) seek their first conference title in four years when they meet the defending champion Toledo Rockets (11-1, 8-0) in the 2023 MAC Championship Game on Saturday. Miami last won the contest in 2019, when it defeated Central Michigan 26-21 for the 22nd conference crown in school history. Toledo looks to become the first team to repeat as MAC champion since Northern Illinois (2011-12) after posting a 17-7 victory against Ohio last year. It was the fourth MAC title game triumph and 15th overall conference title for the Rockets, who owned an 18-point lead at halftime and held on to beat the RedHawks 21-17 in October.

Kickoff at Ford Field in Detroit is scheduled for noon ET. The Rockets are 7-point favorites in the latest Toledo vs. Miami (OH) odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 43.5. Before making any Miami (OH) vs. Toledo picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a strong profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It finished the 2023 regular season a profitable 13-9 on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Toledo vs. Miami (OH) and just revealed its picks and college football predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Miami (OH) vs. Toledo: 

  • Toledo vs. Miami (OH) spread: Rockets -7
  • Toledo vs. Miami (OH) over/under: 43.5 points
  • Toledo vs. Miami (OH) money line: Rockets -300, RedHawks +239
  • TOL: The Rockets are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against MAC opponents
  • MIA: The RedHawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 contests
  • Toledo vs. Miami (OH) picks: See picks at SportsLine 
  • Toledo vs. Miami (OH) live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Toledo can cover

The Rockets captured their 13th division crown by finishing atop the MAC West and hope to become the first team since Northern Illinois (2011-12) to repeat as conference champions after defeating Ohio 17-7 last year. They went 8-0 during conference play for the first time in school history and are one of only 12 FBS teams with fewer than two overall losses this season. The club has scored at least 31 points in four consecutive contests and seven of its last eight.

Toledo ranks 20th in the nation in scoring with an average of 35.3 points and has the eighth-best rushing attack in the country as it gains 211.6 yards per game on the ground. Peny Boone is fifth nationally with 1,359 rushing yards and tied for eighth with 15 touchdown runs. The junior recorded his eighth 100-yard performances of the season in last week's 32-17 victory at Central Michigan with 186 on 21 carries. Boone also scored twice in the triumph, extending his streak to four straight games with a rushing TD. See which team to pick here.

Why Miami (OH) can cover

The RedHawks have lost their last two meetings with the Rockets but own a 28-23-1 advantage in the all-time series. Since coming up short in their comeback attempt against Toledo on Oct. 21, they have posted four consecutive victories -- three by 13 or more points. The club has reached double digits in wins for the first time since going 10-4 in 2010 and hadn't reached the plateau in the regular season since 2003.

Miami is coming off a 17-15 triumph at Ball State in which sophomore quarterback Aveon Smith threw for a season-high 170 yards and a touchdown. Rashad Amos ran for a score in the contest, extending his streak to five straight contests with a rushing TD. The redshirt sophomore, who has been kept out of the end zone in just one of his last nine games, also had a touchdown run in the regular-season matchup against Toledo. See which team to pick here.

How to make Toledo vs. Miami (OH) picks

SportsLine's model is going Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 50 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Toledo vs. Miami (OH), and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Miami (OH) vs. Toledo spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.