|Kansas State QB Collin Klein accounted for three touchdowns in a 36-35 win against Baylor last season. Will he be able to top that performance against one of the Big 12's worst defenses? (AP)
Kickoff: Saturday, 8 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Spread: Kansas State by 11.5
Watchability: The Wildcats have two to go and they're not only fighting the pressure of getting to the national title game, they have the Sport Illustrated cover jinx to deal with this week. Typically, a Big 12 team with one conference victory would not be much to worry about; however, Baylor is ranked second in the nation in total offense and played Oklahoma close last week on the road.
Shining stars: Kansas State -- QB Collin Klein. Bill Snyder does a good job of not letting his team get caught up in the media attention or what's down the road, but it has to be tough for Klein to ignore the Heisman chase. This is a great opportunity to put up huge numbers. In Big 12 play, Baylor's defense is allowing 198.7 rushing yards per game, 321.1 passing yards and 26 passing touchdowns. Baylor -- WR Terrance Williams. Williams leads the NCAA in receiving yards and receiving yards per game (159). No matter how much defenses key in on Williams, he still produces. His worst game during conference play was last week when he had six catches for 91 yards against Oklahoma, the best pass defense in the Big 12. Kansas State has a pair of talented corners to match up with Baylor's star in Nigel Malone and Allen Chapman.
Who could steal the show: Kansas State -- S Ty Zimmerman. Zimmerman left the TCU game with a leg injury, so it's unknown whether he'll play. But if he does, he could play a major role. Baylor QB Nick Florence is tied for a Big 12-worst 11 interceptions. Zimmerman is tied for the Big 12 lead with five interceptions. Florence tends to float some passes and that's not something he'll want to do when Zimmerman is in the area. Baylor -- RB Lache Seastrunk. The Oregon transfer did not have more than eight touches in a game until two weeks ago. In the last two games, he has 194 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 32 carries in addition to six catches for 102 yards and a touchdown.
You going? Ranking the road trip: There were a lot of empty seats two weeks ago at Floyd Casey Stadium when Kansas came to town. This game should be packed for a primetime game.
Magic number for Kansas State: 3. The Kansas State defense has allowed only three touchdowns of 20-plus yards this season. The Bears rely on big plays. One key will be K-State not allowing Baylor's speedsters to get behind the defense.
Magic number for Baylor: 58.9. The Bears are allowing Big 12 opponents to convert on 58.9 percent of their third downs. Baylor's defense will need to get off the field to have a chance.
This game comes down to: Baylor's ability to get stops. Kansas State's defense is too good for Baylor to score on every possession, so to stay in the game, Baylor's defense is going to have to play its best game of the season. Baylor's offense can help by not turning the ball over and giving K-State short field. The Bears have held only one Big 12 opponent (Kansas) under 35 points. K-State is averaging 42.2 points and 30 points is the most the Wildcats have allowed all season. Math is not on Baylor's side.
Prediction: Kansas State 52, Baylor 27
For more up-to-the-minute news and analysis from Big 12 bloggers C.J. Moore and Patrick Southern, follow @CBSSportsBig12 on Twitter. You can also follow C.J. (@cjmoore4) and Patrick (@patricksouthern).