The Toledo Rockets look to all but lock up the Mid-American Conference West Division when they meet the second-place Ball State Cardinals in Tuesday night MACtion. A win by the Rockets (6-3, 4-1) would give Toledo a two-game cushion in the division with just two games remaining. The Cardinals (5-4, 3-2), meanwhile, would move into a first-place tie with a win and hold the tie-breaker. The Rockets have won six of the last eight meetings with the Cardinals, including a 22-12 win at Ball State last year. 

The game from the Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio, is set to kick off at 8 p.m. ET. Ball State's defense is allowing 397.8 total yards per game this season, while Toledo is giving up 347.6. The Rockets are favored by 11 points in the latest Ball State vs. Toledo odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 50.5. Before finalizing any Toledo vs. Ball State picks or MACtion predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Toledo vs. Ball State and locked in its MACtion picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the odds and college football betting lines for Ball State vs. Toledo:

  • Ball State vs. Toledo spread: Toledo -11
  • Ball State vs. Toledo over/under: 50.5 points
  • Ball State vs. Toledo money line: Ball State +328, Toledo -430
  • BSU: The Cardinals are 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 road games against a team with a winning home record
  • TOL: The Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games
  • Ball State vs. Toledo picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Toledo Rockets vs. Ball State Cardinals

Why Toledo can cover

The Rockets, who are bowl eligible for the 13th consecutive season, rank first in the MAC in scoring offense (35.9 points per game), second in passing efficiency (142.92), third in total offense (403.2) and rushing (187.4). With sophomore quarterback Dequan Finn's status still uncertain after missing last week's game due to injury, the Toledo offense may lean on sophomore running back Jacquez Stuart, who leads the team in rushing with 521 yards on 86 carries (6.1 average) and three touchdowns. Stuart has rushed for 100 or more yards three times this season, including a 14-carry and 107-yard effort at Buffalo on Oct. 22. He also rushed for a season-high 122 yards on 16 attempts (7.6 average) and one TD against Central Michigan on Oct. 1.

Junior linebacker Dallas Gant leads the team with 8.8 tackles per game, which is ninth among MAC players and 39th in the nation. He has been the team leader in tackles in four games, including 11 tackles and one-half tackle for loss, one forced fumble and a pass breakup in the season opener against Long Island on Sept. 1. Gant began his collegiate career playing from 2018 to 2021 at Ohio State. In 36 games for the Buckeyes, he made 54 career tackles with 3.5 tackles for loss.

Why Ball State can cover

Senior wide receiver Jayshon Jackson leads the Cardinals with 64 receptions for 735 yards (11.5 average) and three touchdowns. He is coming off a 10-catch, 102-yard and one-touchdown effort at Kent State on Nov. 1. He has had at least 10 receptions in three games this season, including 10 receptions for 122 yards and one touchdown in a loss to Georgia Southern on Sept. 24. For his career, including three years at Cincinnati, Jackson has 200 receptions for 2,350 yards (11.8 average) and 11 touchdowns.

Defensively, junior linebacker Cole Pearce has been a disruptive force, leading the team with 4.5 sacks for 32 yards. He is third on the team with 73 tackles, including 41 solo, and has four pass breakups and one interception. He has been a beast the last two weeks, with 12 tackles and a sack at Kent State on Nov. 1, and 15 tackles and a sack against Eastern Michigan on Oct. 22. For his career, Pearce has 111 tackles, including 62 solo, with 4.5 sacks, four pass breakups and one interception.

How to make Ball State vs. Toledo picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 57 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Toledo vs. Ball State? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.