The VCU Rams seek their ninth win in 10 games when they host the Dayton Flyers on Tuesday in an Atlantic 10 Conference showdown. VCU (18-6, 9-2) is returning home after posting back-to-back road victories against Davidson and Saint Louis. Dayton (15-9, 7-4) is coming off its third loss in five games, a 68-59 setback at St. Bonaventure on Saturday. The teams had their first meeting of the season on Jan. 13, when the Rams rallied for a 63-62 road victory.
Tipoff at the Stuart C. Siegel Center in Richmond, Va., is set for 7 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Rams are 3.5-point favorites in the latest VCU vs. Dayton odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 130. Before making any Dayton vs. VCU picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 14 of the season 57-37 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,000 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on VCU vs. Dayton and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for Dayton vs. VCU:
- VCU vs. Dayton spread: Rams -3.5
- VCU vs. Dayton over/under: 130 points
- VCU vs. Dayton money line: Rams -170, Flyers +143
- VCU: The Rams are 6-0 against the spread in their last six games against teams with winning records
- DAY: The Flyers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven overall contests
- VCU vs. Dayton picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why VCU can cover
The Rams trailed by 16 points at Dayton last month but outscored the Flyers 44-29 in the second half to improve to 16-8 in the all-time series. Senior forward David Shriver, who is averaging just 6.9 points this season, came off the bench to score a team-high 18 and sophomore guard Nick Kern made the winning layup with 16 seconds remaining. It was the second 18-point performance in three outings for Shriver, who went 6-for-8 from 3-point range while the rest of the team was 0-for-7 from beyond the arc.
Adrian Baldwin Jr. was limited to six points in the victory but registered a career-high 37 in VCU's 73-65 triumph at Saint Louis last Friday. The junior guard, who is averaging a team-leading 13.5 points, went 12-for-15 from the field and 4-for-5 from long distance. The Rams have been strong at the other end of the court as they are fifth in the nation in defensive turnover percentage (24.8), 11th in steal percentage (13.4) and 22nd in defensive efficiency (95.1).
Why Dayton can cover
DaRon Holmes II is the leading scorer for the Flyers with an average of 17.8 points. The sophomore forward was nearly perfect from the field in Dayton's 68-59 loss at St. Bonaventure on Saturday, going 7-for-8 from the field en route to a game-high 21 points. Holmes, who leads the nation with 66 dunks, registered 13 points in the first meeting with the Rams.
Toumani Camara recorded the fourth of his five double-doubles this season in the loss to VCU as he led all players with 27 points and grabbed 11 rebounds. The junior forward is first in the conference with an average of nine boards per game and has reached double digits nine times this season. Camara tops the Flyers with 30 steals and is second on the team with 24 blocked shots.
How to make VCU vs. Dayton picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, suggesting the teams combine for a total of 133 points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Dayton vs. VCU? And which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the VCU vs. Dayton spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $1,000 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks, and find out.