The first round of the 2023 NCAA Tournament concludes when the No. 11 seed Arizona State Sun Devils and the No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs link up on Friday night. This is the fifth matchup all-time between these schools, with the games being split 2-2. The last game took place in 2009, with Arizona State securing a 52-49 win. TCU is playing in its second consecutive NCAA Tournament. Meanwhile, this is Arizona State's first appearance since 2019.
Tipoff from Ball Arena in Denver is set for 10:05 p.m. ET. The Horned Frogs are 5-point favorites in the latest Arizona State vs. TCU odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 143. Before making any TCU vs. Arizona State picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and March Madness betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the 2023 NCAA Tournament 79-53 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,300 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Arizona State vs. TCU and just locked in its picks and March Madness predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for TCU vs. Arizona State:
- Arizona State vs. TCU: Horned Frogs -5
- Arizona State vs. TCU over/under: 143 points
- Arizona State vs. TCU money line: Horned Frogs -220, Sun Devils +180
- ASU: Sun Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven neutral site games
- TCU: Horned Frogs are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight-up loss
- Arizona State vs. TCU picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why TCU can cover
Senior guard Damion Baugh is an impactful player in a variety of different areas. Baugh has good athleticism and plays with a high motor throughout the contest. The Tennessee native averages 12.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game. On March 1 versus Texas, Baugh notched 24 points, nine assists and three steals.
Sophomore forward JaKobe Coles is a reliable player off the bench. Coles has good strength as a defender and when he attacks the paint. The Texas native put up 8.6 points and 3.9 rebounds per contest. On Feb. 26 against Texas Tech, Coles finished with 15 points, five rebounds and three assists.
Why Arizona State can cover
Senior guard Desmond Cambridge Jr. is an athletic force who can catch fire in a flash. Cambridge Jr. has good range to pair with his quick release from beyond the arc. The Tennessee native is a willing defender with good instincts in passing lanes. Cambridge Jr. averages 13.8 points, 2.3 assists and 1.7 steals per game. On March 9 against USC, he racked up 27 points, seven rebounds and two steals.
Junior guard DJ Horne provides the Sun Devils with another quick and shifty scorer in the backcourt. Horne knows how to get in the lane and break down the defense constantly. The North Carolina native can score at all three levels. Horne logs 12.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. In his last outing against Nevada, he notched 20 points, two assists and knocked down 4 3-pointers.
How to make Arizona State vs. TCU picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 139 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins TCU vs. Arizona State? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned nearly $1,300 on its college basketball picks this season, and find out.
