k-j-williams-murray-state-usatsi.jpg
USATSI

The No. 21 Murray State Racers and the Austin Peay Governors are set to square off in an Ohio Valley matchup at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday at CFSB Center. MSU is 24-2 overall and 13-0 at home, while Austin Peay is 10-14 overall and 4-10 on the road. Like with most of its Ohio Valley rivals, Murray State has dominated the head-to-head series, going 8-2 straight-up in its last 10 meetings with Austin Peay and 8-1-1 against the spread.

However, the Governors have covered the spread in four of their last five contests entering Thursday. The Racers are favored by 18.5 points in the latest Murray State vs. Austin Peay odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 132.5. Before entering any Austin Peay vs. Murray State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Murray State vs. Austin Peay. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Austin Peay vs. Murray State:

  • Murray State vs. Austin Peay spread: Murray State -18.5
  • Murray State vs. Austin Peay over-under: 132.5 points

What you need to know about Murray State

It was a close one, but on Saturday the Racers sidestepped the Morehead State Eagles for a 57-53 win. It was another big night for MSU's forward KJ Williams, who posted a double-double on 21 points and 12 boards, while also adding four steals. On the defensive end, Murray State forced 16 turnovers to help them outlast the Eagles.

Williams is a fourth-year forward who has spent his entire collegiate career at Murray State and he's now averaging 17.4 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. He leads the team in both categories and also leads the team in steals per game (1.6) with Murray State forcing 14.6 turnovers per game on average.

What you need to know about Austin Peay

Meanwhile, Austin Peay was able to grind out a solid victory over the Eastern Illinois Panthers on Monday, winning 62-54. Elijah Hutchins-Everett had a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds in the victory and Carlos Paez stuffed the stat sheet with 13 points, five assists, five rebounds and four steals.

The Governors limited the Panthers to just 37.5 percent shooting from the floor and also held them to 0-for-11 from the 3-point line. During their current three-game winning streak, they're holding opponents to just 39.3 percent shooting from the floor and they'll need to disrupt Murray State's offensive flow similarly to have a chance to pull off the upset.

How to make Austin Peay vs. Murray State picks

The model is leaning over on the total and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Murray State vs. Austin Peay? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks.