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After another tremendous season, the Gonzaga Bulldogs enter the 2022 NCAA Tournament as the No. 1 overall seed. On Thursday, Mark Few's team will begin its journey through the March Madness bracket with a matchup against the Georgia State Panthers. Georgia State is the No. 16 seed in the West Region, winning the final 10 games and earning a Sun Belt title in the process. Gonzaga is 26-3 overall and 19-1 in its last 20 games, including a West Coast Conference championship.

Tipoff is at 4:15 p.m. ET in Portland, Ore. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bulldogs as 22.5-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 149 in the latest Gonzaga vs. Georgia State odds. Before making any Georgia State vs. Gonzaga picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Gonzaga vs. Georgia State, and just locked in its picks and March Madness predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Georgia State vs. Gonzaga:

  • Georgia State vs. Gonzaga spread: Gonzaga -22.5 
  • Georgia State vs. Gonzaga over-under: 149 points 
  • Georgia State vs. Gonzaga money line: Gonzaga -15000, Georgia State +2500 
  • GS: The Panthers are 3-6 against the spread in non-conference games 
  • GON: The Bulldogs are 6-7 against the spread in non-conference games

Why Georgia State can cover

The Panthers are good in the possession battle on offense. Georgia State led the Sun Belt in offensive rebound rate at 35.8 percent this season, and the Panthers finished No. 2 in turnover rate at less than 17 percent. Gonzaga's top defensive weakness is a lack of turnover creation, with opponents giving the ball away on only 16.9 percent of possessions. 

On defense, Georgia State is very stout, leading the Sun Belt in overall efficiency. The Panthers forced a turnover on 23.5 percent of possessions during conference play and ranked in the top 20 of the nation in turnover rate over the full season. Georgia State held opponents to 43.6 percent on 2-point attempts in conference play, leading the Sun Belt, and also finished atop the conference in steal rate at 12.9 percent. Georgia State also blocked 12.6 percent of shots during conference action, and the Panthers are red-hot to close the season, winning 10 straight games.

Why Gonzaga can cover

Gonzaga has an elite defense, ranking in the top 10 of the country in shooting efficiency allowed, 2-point shooting allowed and adjusted defensive efficiency. The Bulldogs are even better on offense, leading the nation in overall efficiency. Gonzaga has the second-best shooting efficiency in the country, making 60.9 percent of 2-point shots and 37.9 percent of 3-point shots. The Bulldogs converted 41.0 percent of 3-point shots over the final 16 games, and Gonzaga is soundly above-average in turnover rate, offensive rebound rate, free throw creation rate, and free-throw accuracy. 

Georgia State is one of the worst teams in the country in slowing 3-point shooting, with opponents making 37.9 percent of attempts. The Panthers are also outside the top 200 in free-throw rate allowed, and Georgia State is poor on the defensive glass, grabbing only 69.3 percent of available rebounds.

How to make Georgia State vs. Gonzaga picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with 13 players projected to score at least six points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Gonzaga vs. Georgia State pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Gonzaga vs. Georgia State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Georgia State vs. Gonzaga spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.