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The No. 9 seed Abilene Christian Wildcats will face the No. 8 seed California Baptist Lancers in the opening round of the 2023 WAC Tournament on Tuesday afternoon. Abilene Christian won the lone regular-season meeting between these teams, but it lost its final five games down the stretch after that. Cal Baptist lost three of its final four games, including an 81-71 setback at Southern Utah last Friday. 

Tipoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. The Lancers are favored by 1 point in the latest California Baptist vs. Abilene Christian odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 141. Before entering any Abilene Christian vs. California Baptist picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week at 76-51 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on California Baptist vs. Abilene Christian. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for California Baptist vs. Abilene Christian:

  • California Baptist vs. Abilene Christian spread: California Baptist -1
  • California Baptist vs. Abilene Christian over/under: 141 points
  • California Baptist vs. Abilene Christian money line: California Baptist -115, Abilene Christian -105
  • California Baptist vs. Abilene Christian picks: See picks here

Why California Baptist can cover

Cal Baptist struggled in true road games at the end of the season, but it won three straight home games and will be happy to play at a neutral site on Tuesday afternoon. The Lancers cruised to an 88-70 win over UT Rio Grande Valley last Wednesday, as Taran Armstrong poured in 20 points in a game that his team led by 14 points at halftime. Armstrong, a sophomore guard, leads Cal Baptist with 11.4 points, 4.9 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game. 

The Lancers have a balanced lineup, as six other players are averaging at least 6.3 points per game. Abilene Christian has been severely overvalued by the betting market at the end of the season, failing to cover the spread in five straight games. The Wildcats lost all five of those games outright, making them a team to avoid on Tuesday afternoon. 

Why Abilene Christian can cover

Abilene Christian dominated the lone meeting between these teams this season, rolling to an 87-71 win on Feb. 4. The Wildcats scored 49 points in the second half, as Damien Daniels scored 17 points and added four steals. Hunter Jack Madden knocked down all nine of his free-throw attempts and finished with 17 points as well, while Airion Simmons chipped in 16 points. 

They suffered multiple close losses during their five-game skid after that, losing to Stephen F. Austin in double overtime and falling to regular-season champion Utah Valley by four points. Senior guard Immanuel Allen leads Abilene Christian with 11.0 points and 2.6 rebounds per game, while senior guard Tobias Cameron is adding 10.0 points and 4.4 boards. The Wildcats are 13-4 in their last 17 games in the month of March. 

How to make Abilene Christian vs. California Baptist picks

The model has simulated California Baptist vs. Abilene Christian 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Abilene Christian vs. Cal Baptist? And which side of the spread is hitting over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 76-51 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.