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USATSI

The App. State Mountaineers will be looking to build on their win over Old Dominion when they face the Georgia State Panthers on Thursday night. App. State has won four of its last six games, getting above the .500 mark overall this season. Georgia State has lost five of its last six games, including a 58-52 setback at Georgia Southern on Saturday. 

Tipoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. The Mountaineers are favored by 7 points in the latest App. State vs. Georgia State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 127. Before entering any Georgia State vs. App. State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 12 of the season 45-26 on all top-rated college basketball picks, returning more than $1,100 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on App. State vs. Georgia State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for App. State vs. Georgia State:

  • App. State vs. Georgia State spread: App. State -7
  • App. State vs. Georgia State over/under: 127 points
  • App. State vs. Georgia State money line: App. State -320, Georgia State 250
  • App. State vs. Georgia State picks: See picks here

Why Appalachian State can cover

Georgia State has been struggling throughout the conference portion of its schedule, having lost five of its last six games coming into this matchup. The Panthers have only covered the spread once during that stretch, so they have been a great team to fade. They are also playing on the road for the third consecutive game, giving Appalachian State an additional advantage. 

The Mountaineers have been trending in the opposite direction, picking up their fourth win in six games when they beat Old Dominion by 14 points last Saturday. Terence Harcum poured in 28 points and grabbed seven rebounds in that win, while Xavion Brown and CJ Huntley both finished in double figures as well. Georgia State is riding a six-game road losing streak, and Appalachian State is 4-1 in its last five home games. 

Why Georgia State can cover

Georgia State has been competitive in most of its recent losses, losing to Louisiana-Monroe, Louisiana and Georgia Southern each by single digits. The Panthers also rolled to a 100-66 win over Coastal Carolina two weeks ago, despite being just 4.5-point favorites in that game. Leading scorer Dwon Odom missed the last two games with an undisclosed injury, but he could return on Thursday night. 

Sophomore guard Collin Moore finally made his season debut last week, scoring 10 points against Old Dominion and 17 points against Georgia Southern. Brenden Tucker (12.6), Ja'Heim Hudson (10.8) and Evan Johnson (10.0) have each been double-digit scorers as well. Appalachian State has gone winless against the spread in five straight Thursday games. 

How to make Appalachian State vs. Georgia State picks

The model has simulated Georgia State vs. Appalachian State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Appalachian State vs. Georgia State? And which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 45-26 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.