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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    +576
    (60%)
    33-22 in Last 55 NCAAB Picks
    BU
    -112
    Money Line
    Picked: Feb 22 @ 12:02am

    Analysis

    Boston is rolling right now. The Terriers have won five straight games by an average of 15 points. One of those wins was a 85-58 route of Colgate. BU is doing it with offense. The Terriers ranks first in the Patriot League in offensive efficiency, two-point field goal percentage, and three-point field goal percentage. Lehigh will need to shoot well from the field because second-chance opportunities could be limited. The Mountain Hawks are the worst offensive rebounding team in the Patriot League, while Boston ranks first in defensive rebounding percentage. Lehigh won a 93-91 OT thriller on Jan. 14 but BU is a different team now. I like the Terriers to extend the win streak to six. I grabbed the ML for a half unit.
  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    +1278
    (62%)
    38-23 in Last 61 NBA ATS Picks
    MIL +3.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 21 @ 5:24pm

    Analysis

    No one outside of Wisconsin seems to be talking about this quiet post-deadline move made by the Bucks, which is now looking like a stroke of genius. High-usage G Cam Thomas was deemed expendable by the Nets, looking to shed salary and give other youngsters a look, but he seems a godsend for Milwaukee, already delivering 27 (vs. Orlando) and 34 (vs. 'Nawlins)-point games and fueling a three-game Bucks surge, all on the road. With Giannis still out, Doc Rivers suddenly has a go-to scorer as nobody will accuse Milwaukee of tanking with the Bucks fighting for a play-in spot. Meanwhile, Raps form a bit back-and-forth lately (4-4 last eight), and key F Scottie Barnes might miss action on Sunday. Play Bucks
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #2
    +1981
    (69%)
    38-17 in Last 55 NCAAB Picks
    Under 140.5
    -112
    Over/Under
    Picked: Feb 21 @ 7:16pm

    Analysis

    North Texas (15-12) only allows 66 points per game, which has helped 16 of their 25 lined games stay under the total. FAU (15-12) scores 80.3 points a game but has stayed under in 13 of its 25 lined games. I think Sunday’s pace will favor North Texas, playing at home. This defense allows only 22 field goals per game and only 5.9 3-pointers per game. Both figures are top 10 in college basketball. FAU has stayed under in four of its last five games. North Texas has won and covered the last two meetings, and both games stayed under 141. The last time they met was at FAU last February, won by North Texas 71-61. That's a score I'll take on Sunday. Under.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    +80
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB ATS Picks
    WISC -2.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 21 @ 10:24pm

    Analysis

    Iowa’s defense thrives on forcing turnovers, ranking 14th nationally. But Wisconsin counters with elite ball security, ranking 9th in offensive turnover percentage. When forced into half-court defense, Iowa struggles—ranking 16th of 18 Big Ten teams in 2-point defense. The Hawkeyes’ defensive numbers also plummet on the road, where they’ve allowed 74 or more points in five of seven Big Ten away games. Meanwhile, Wisconsin’s efficiency improves at the Kohl Center in all metrics, notably with free-throw shooting rising to 79.1%. Head coach Greg Gard confirmed on Saturday that Austin Rapp is expected to return for this game. My model makes the Badgers 4.5-point favorites.
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    +576
    (60%)
    33-22 in Last 55 NCAAB Picks
    WISC
    -148
    Money Line
    Picked: Feb 21 @ 11:47pm

    Analysis

    I love this spot for Wisconsin returning home after a bad loss to Ohio State without Austin Rapp. Rapp is expected to return on Sunday and that's important for a Wisconsin team that isn't very deep. Greg Gard slammed his squad for not playing physical against Ohio State, so I expect a better effort here. Iowa struggles to score when they aren't creating turnovers. The Badgers are one of the best in the country at not turning the ball over, which means the shaky Iowa offense needs to make shots consistently. Wisconsin is 5-1 coming off a loss, winning those games by an average of nine points. I took the ML (DK) for a half unit but would also bet Wisconsin at -2.5 or less.

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