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Head to Head


UFC 82 invades the Nationwide Arena in Columbus, Ohio on Saturday, March 1, airing live on PPV at 10 p.m. ET. In the main event, UFC middleweight champion Anderson "The Spider" Silva takes on Dan Henderson, who is the last 185-pound champion of the former PRIDE organization. Also on the card, the return of former middleweight champion Evan Tanner against Yushin Okami, plus fights involving Chris Leben, Josh Koscheck, Diego Sanchez, Jon Fitch, and former heavyweight champion Andrei Arlovski.

To help you get ready for UFC 82, CBSSports.com gives you a complete look at each fight on the card, with analysis from our knowledgeable MMA writers. Take a look, and then discuss your own predictions on the message board at the bottom of this page.

Fighter photos courtesy of UFC.

UFC Middleweight Title Bout:
ANDERSON SILVAvs.DAN HENDERSON
"The Spider"Nickname"Hendo"
32Age37
6-2Height6-1
20-4 (5-0 UFC)Record22-6 (2-1 UFC)
12 (4 UFC)KO/TKOs10 (0 UFC)
3 (1 UFC)Submissions1 (0 UFC)
6 winsStreak1 loss
def. Rich Franklin
UFC 77
10/20/2007
Last Fightlost to Quinton Jackson
UFC 75
9/8/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: Since 1997, Henderson has fought a long list of elite fighters -- names like Wanderlei, Nogueira, Rua, Belfort, and of course, Rampage. Not one of those guys found a way to knock Hendo out. That, more than anything else, is what will keep this fight close. Henderson's toughness will meet its match in Silva's lethal striking. Can Henderson avoid a KO here too? I think so, but I believe Silva will outscore him in the process and win a decision. CaplanSam Caplan: It's the clinch vs. the body lock! If Henderson can control the distance while also getting Silva to respect him as a puncher, then he can close the gap and body lock Silva. In doing so, he will neutralize Silva's ability to throw knees and prevent himself from getting trapped in Silva's clinch. Once he smothers Silva he can then either press him against the cage and use some dirty boxing tactics or use a trip takedown and take the fight to the floor where he'll have a decisive advantage. Silva has good pure jiu-jitsu skills but his overall MMA ground game is lacking. Henderson will win this fight by exploiting Silva's subpar wrestling ability. DoyelGregg Doyel: There can't be more than five fighters in the world, 205 pounds or less, who can beat Dan Henderson -- but Anderson Silva is one of them. Silva's too good standing, and even if Henderson can use his superior wrestling to get him to the ground, Silva will find a way to submit him or rack up points trying to do so. I see Silva winning by TKO in the fourth. MartinTodd Martin: Henderson has the wrestling ability to exploit Silva’s takedown defense, but it remains to be seen if he will exploit that advantage. Henderson likes to stand and bang, even against high level strikers. If Henderson comes into the fight with a conservative ground and pound game plan, I feel very confident that he will win. But I don’t expect him to do that. He’s more likely to roll the dice and rely on his vaunted chin, and that’s a dangerous game to play with Silva. I’m picking Silva. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: Silva has looked almost superhuman in his last few fights, but Henderson presents a different kind of challenge. At middleweight, few people can rival Hendo’s strength, not to mention his raw tenacity. He might be perfectly suited to take advantage of Silva’s poor takedown defense, though takedowns alone rarely win a fight. Henderson will need to fight smart and wear Silva down, and I think he’ll do it. Henderson by decision or late TKO.
 
Heavyweight Bout:
HEATH HERRINGvs.CHEICK KONGO
"The Texas Crazy Horse"Nicknamen/a
29Age32
6-4Height6-4
27-13 (1-2 UFC)Record11-3-1 (4-1 UFC)
7 (0 UFC)KO/TKOs7 (2 UFC)
16 (0 UFC)Submissions1 (0 UFC)
1 lossStreak2 wins
lost to Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
UFC 73
7/7/2007
Last Fightdef. Mirko Cro Cop
UFC 75
9/8/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: Herring is definitely the more experienced and savvy fighter. He got a hero's welcome in the UFC last year, but other than an impressive knockdown on Big Nog (in a fight Herring went on to lose), he has disappointed thus far. Kongo will undoubtedly want to slug it out with Herring, as he should. It's his best bet. He'll catch Herring with a fist in the third for the KO. CaplanSam Caplan: I know a lot of people are picking Kongo and while he was impressive vs. Mirko Cro Cop this past September, I still have questions. I just am not convinced that Kongo's all-around MMA skills are there. If Herring comes into this fight healthy and prepared, then I think he takes the decision as he's the better mixed martial artist. DoyelGregg Doyel: Beyond the glamour of Henderson vs. Silva, this is a sad card if Heath Herring is receiving some of the top billing. He hasn't done a damn thing in the UFC -- he didn't do much before getting there, either -- and he's going to be no match for the superior striking and athleticism of Kongo, who will lay this dude out in the third round. MartinTodd Martin: There is a belief among many that Herring will again raise questions about Kongo’s ground game. The problem is Herring historically hasn’t dealt well with strikers. His takedowns aren’t top of the line and he can be tagged standing. Kongo has the right tools to beat Herring. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: Herring has looked less than inspired since coming to the UFC, almost as if he’s another one of the Pride imports content to walk through his contract and be done with it. Kongo’s improvement has been steady in each fight, though his ground game is still a question. He has enough tools to beat Herring, provided he doesn’t get reckless and start looking for a highlight reel KO. Kongo by decision.
 
Middleweight Bout:
ALESSIO SAKARAvs.CHRIS LEBEN
"Legionarius"Nickname"The Crippler"
26Age27
6-0Height5-11
12-6 (3-3 UFC)Record17-4 (11-3 UFC)
7 (2 UFC)KO/TKOs9 (4 UFC)
2 (0 UFC)Submissions4 (1 UFC)
1 winStreak1 win
def. James Lee
UFC 80
1/19/2008
Last Fightdef. Terry Martin
Fight Night 11
9/19/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: Leben is maturing into a smarter and more poised fighter. Sakara is known as a striker, but working with ATT, he could have some new tricks up his sleeve. However, Leben should still be able to either KO Sakara, or anticipate whatever ground game he'll throw at him and counter it to outscore Sakara. Either way, I like Leben to win. CaplanSam Caplan: Sakara is training with American Top Team so I wonder if this will be the fight we get to see him use his ground skills? If he doesn't, he could come out on the losing end of the striking game in spite of the fact that he's a professional boxer in Italy. I like Leben to win via second round TKO. DoyelGregg Doyel: I'm a big Chris Leben fan, but I'm assuming Alessio Sakara can drop easily from 205 pounds to 185 -- and if that's the case, holy cow is he going to be one huge, powerful middleweight. And Sakara already was a wrecking crew at 205. If he lays a glove on Leben's chin, even as tough as Leben's chin looked against Terry Martin, it'll be nighty-night time. Lights out, Chris. Second round. MartinTodd Martin: Sakara has the crisper hands, but Leben has the harder punch and better chin. Unfortunately for Sakara, those attributes are more important in an MMA fight. This fight isn’t likely to last long, and I think Leben will be the last man standing. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: The move down to middleweight is the best possible choice for Sakara, but Leben is still a tough draw. He’s scrappy, he can take a shot as well as he can give one, and his submissions game is underrated. Leben might not be as technically sound a stand-up fight fighter as Sakara, but he can make you pay if you don’t put him away early. Leben by TKO.
 
Middleweight Bout:
YUSHIN OKAMIvs.EVAN TANNER
"Thunder"Nicknamen/a
26Age37
6-2Height6-0
20-4 (5-1 UFC)Record32-6 (11-4 UFC)
7 (1 UFC)KO/TKOs7 (5 UFC)
3 (1 UFC)Submissions20 (4 UFC)
1 winStreak1 win
def. Jason MacDonald
UFC 77
10/20/2007
Last Fightdef. Justin Levens
UFC 59
4/15/2006
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: Okami is a strong guy, but Tanner has seen that before and is not particularly concerned about it. Tanner will be a question mark due to his age and extended absence. But he is notoriously tough, with the warrior's spirit similar to Big Nog -- he can pull out a win from the clutches of certain defeat, and do it calmly. I'm picking the upset here -- Tanner by submission. CaplanSam Caplan: As much as I want to see Tanner do well, I just can't bring myself to pick him. Okami has proven to be one of the most underrated fighters in the UFC while Tanner has disappointed too many times. Tanner is saying all the right things, but has he been doing all the right things? Okami via unanimous decision. DoyelGregg Doyel: In his prime, Tanner might have won this fight. But this isn't his prime, and more than that, he has to be rusty after a nearly two-year layoff. Tanner's specialty is muscling his way to submissions, but he's not as strong as Okami -- who went the distance with Rich Franklin, something Tanner couldn't do in two tries. Okami in a decision. MartinTodd Martin: They certainly aren’t giving Evan Tanner an easy opponent in his return to UFC after a two year absence. Tanner is a big middleweight, but he will have trouble dealing with the youth and power of Okami. Tanner stylistically will make it tough on Okami, but Okami will pull it out. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: I get the sense that the UFC is waiting to see whether Evan Tanner’s feel good story of recovery and redemption is worth running with, and that’s why they’ve matched him with their own middleweight truth serum, Yushin Okami. If Tanner isn’t sharp, Okami will find out. He’s a grinder and he doesn’t let up. Okami by decision, but Tanner will show he’s got plenty of heart even in defeat.
 
Welterweight Bout:
CHRIS WILSONvs.JON FITCH
"The Professor"Nicknamen/a
30Age30
6-1Height6-0
13-3 (UFC debut)Record15-2 (7-0 UFC)
6KO/TKOs4 (1 UFC)
5Submissions5 (3 UFC)
4 winsStreak14 wins
def. Derrick Noble
SportFight 20
10/27/2007
Last Fightdef. Diego Sanchez
UFC 76
9/22/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: After all Jon Fitch has been through and all the guys he has outclassed in the Octagon, I would be shocked if he didn't come into this fight more focused and prepared than ever. He is probably one win away from a title shot (unless Serra beats GSP), and he knows that. Chris Wilson may not be a pushover, but he's not ready for a super-motivated Fitch, either. Fitch by submission. CaplanSam Caplan: Chris Wilson is no joke. Novice fans perceive him to be a pushover but he is a legitimate welterweight prospect who will go on to make some noise in the UFC at 170 pounds. However, as highly as a I think of him, I just don't think he's ready to take out someone like Jon Fitch. I'm picking Fitch via unanimous decision in a bout that could contend for fight of the night honors. DoyelGregg Doyel: Who in the UFC did Chris Wilson piss off to get this fight? Wilson is no slouch, but clearly he is being served up to Fitch as one last credible victim before Fitch gets his shot at the welterweight title. Fitch will ground-and-pound him until Wilson rolls over, at which point Fitch will apply his patented rear-naked choke. Which round? First round. MartinTodd Martin: Fitch’s long road to a title shot is nearing completion. Wilson is the prototypical opponent for Fitch: a tough fighter who isn’t widely known. It will be just another night at the office for the no-nonsense Fitch, who will soon be fighting for the welterweight title. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: Wilson is one of the best fighters who most UFC fans have never heard of. He’s a technician on his feet and is adept on the ground, though he doesn’t want to get into a wrestling match here. Fitch is a powerhouse on the mat. Wilson has to stay up and look to pick him apart, which won’t be easy. I like the chances for an upset here, so I’ll take Wilson by TKO.
 
Heavyweight Bout:
JAKE O'BRIENvs.ANDREI ARLOVSKI
"Irish"Nickname"Pitbull"
23Age29
6-3Height6-4
10-0 (3-0 UFC)Record11-5 (9-4 UFC)
8 (1 UFC)KO/TKOs7 (6 UFC)
0Submissions3 (2 UFC)
10 winsStreak2 wins
def. Heath Herring
Fight Night 8
1/25/2007
Last Fightdef. Fabricio Werdum
UFC 70
4/21/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: Honestly, Arlovski is a question mark with me. He's only fought once in the past year, and it wasn't his finest performance (though he did win, and that's what counts). O'Brien is coming back from a long layoff himself. His biggest win was his last, a decision against Heath Herring. Arlovski is a step up from Herring for sure, but I am going out on a limb and predicting O'Brien by decision. CaplanSam Caplan: UFC fans are being asked to pay $44.95 per PPV fight card yet politics could prevent us from seeing one of its top heavyweight stars. This fight was made because Arlovski will likely sign elsewhere after this bout and the idea is to send him out with a loss. O'Brien is notorious for his lay and pray tactics and will look to ground Arlovski and take away his striking prowess. This could be an ugly match, but as long as Arlovski is prepared then I think he should be able to expose O'Brien's lack of overall MMA skills. Arlovski via first round KO. DoyelGregg Doyel: When someone writes the definitive story on overrated UFC fighters, Arlovski better be in the first sentence. He made a career out of a stretch several years ago when he beat several mediocre heavyweights before lucking into a submission win over Tim Sylvia. Since then? Nothing. O'Brien hasn't fought in a year because of a neck injury, but if he can survive the ring rust of round one, he'll pound out a decision in rounds two and three. MartinTodd Martin: UFC gave Arlovski a hell of a parting gift if this ends up being his last UFC fight for a while. O’Brien is a strong wrestler who doesn’t much care about delivering an entertaining fight. That’s frustrating for Arlovski, who is known for spectacular knockout wins. O’Brien is likely to get some takedowns early, and Arlovski will have to fight back. The problem is Arlovski has a tendency to fold under pressure, which is why I’m picking O’Brien to score the upset. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: O’Brien isn’t kidding himself. He knows his best chance against Arlovski is to put him on his back and hold him there for three rounds, so that’s what he’s going to try and do. Arlovski will have to defend some takedowns and maintain a good striking range. He may have trouble early, but eventually he’ll force O’Brien to stand in front of him. Arlovski by TKO.
 
Welterweight Bout:
LUIGI FIORAVANTIvs.LUKE CUMMO
n/aNickname"The Silent Assassin"
27Age27
5-8Height6-0
11-3 (2-3 UFC)Record6-4 (3-2 UFC)
7 (2 UFC)KO/TKOs4 (2 UFC)
1 (0 UFC)Submissions1 (0 UFC)
1 winStreak2 wins
def. Frank Camacho
Pacific X-treme Combat
7/12/2007
Last Fightdef. Edilberto de Oliveira
Fight Night 11
9/19/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: Fioravanti isn't going to be a pushover, but I expect that he'll need to outstrike Cummo if he wants to win the fight. He might be able to score points in standup, but he won't knock Cummo out. It will be competitive, but I'm picking Cummo to earn his third straight UFC win. CaplanSam Caplan: Weird nutrition habits aside, Cummo can fight. He has good submissions and his striking has really improved. He has a tough task ahead of him in a former active Marine in Fiorvanti but it's one that I expect him to handle. I expect Cummo to win via a rear naked choke in the second round. DoyelGregg Doyel: This one looks like a loser- leave-town kind of fight -- and I'm not sure what being the winner will prove, either. Basically it's a solid undercard fight for two journeymen who have a glimmer of name recognition but no real future in the UFC. Fioravanti has thunder in his fists, but Cummo has never been knocked out. Nothing lasts forever. Cummo sleeps in the third round. MartinTodd Martin: Cummo is tougher than his record indicates, but Fioravanti is the better fighter. Cummo is hard to finish, so I think a Fioravanti decision is more likely than a Fioravanti TKO. Either way, he’s getting the job done. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: I have to think that Cummo has the edge on the ground here, and while Fioravanti hasn’t exactly been fighting tomato cans, he hasn’t been in some of the wars that Cummo has. This is a good opportunity for Cummo to show his rapid improvement over the last couple of years, and I think he’ll do just that. Cummo via submission.
 
Welterweight Bout:
DUSTIN HAZELETTvs.JOSH KOSCHECK
n/aNickname"Kos"
21Age30
6-1Height5-10
10-3 (3-1 UFC)Record9-2 (7-2 UFC)
1 (0 UFC)KO/TKOs1 (1 UFC)
7 (2 UFC)Submissions4 (3 UFC)
3 winsStreak1 loss
def. Jonathan Goulet
Fight Night 11
9/19/2007
Last Fightlost to Georges St. Pierre
UFC 74
8/25/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: Hazelett's on a three-fight winning streak in the UFC over the course of one year. He takes a considerable step up in competition against Koscheck, whose only recent blemish was getting outclassed by GSP last August. Hazelett's good, but he's no GSP. Look for Koscheck to rebound nicely here with a win. CaplanSam Caplan: Hazelett is 3-0 in his last three bouts in the UFC and his last fight was a first round submission over Jonathan Goulet at UFC Fight Night 11 in September. It was a solid win but Hazelett has never defeated a fighter near the caliber of Koscheck. Sanchez is booked for a comeback win and I think the same exact logic went behind the making of this bout for Koscheck. Koscheck by second round TKO. DoyelGregg Doyel: If this fight remains on the undercard, it'll go down as one of the best damn undercard fights of all time. Koscheck is one fight removed from going the distance with Georges St. Pierre, a loss that cost him a title shot, while Hazelett is a rising star whose BJJ expertise could get him an eventual title shot. Koscheck is the stronger fighter, but Hazelett will join Drew Fickett as the only men to submit him. Third round. MartinTodd Martin: Hazelett’s strength is submissions, which at one time would have presented serious problems for Koscheck. However, Koscheck by this point has devoted too much time to standup and submission defense. He can keep the fight standing if he feels he has the edge there, and can defend if it goes to the ground. This is his fight. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: Rumor is that the UFC is iffy on Koscheck and would like to quietly ride out his contract before giving him any more hype. That’s why he’s stepping down in competition to face Hazelett in a bout that may not make the broadcast. Hazelett looks good on paper, but he’s not ready for an athlete of Koscheck’s caliber. Koscheck takes this by TKO or decision.
 
Welterweight Bout:
DAVID BIELKHEDENvs.DIEGO SANCHEZ
n/aNickname"Nightmare"
28Age26
5-10Height5-11
12-5 (UFC debut)Record17-2 (7-2 UFC)
4KO/TKOs5 (2 UFC)
5Submissions8 (1 UFC)
2 winsStreak2 losses
def. Nikola Matic
Lord of the Ring
1/12/2008
Last Fightlost to Jon Fitch
UFC 76
9/22/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: The fact that Sanchez has lost two straight is a bit misleading. He reportedly had a case of staph setting in when he lost to Koscheck (and even then, Kos couldn't finish him). Then, he gave Jon Fitch a very good fight and lost to a guy who is very close to a title bid. My money's on Sanchez to remind us that he's the same guy who went to war with Karo Parisyan in 2006. Diego by TKO. CaplanSam Caplan: A PRIDE Bushido veteran of all of one fight, Bielkheden will look to gain traction in a major promotion, something that has alluded him in his seven year pro MMA career. The Swedish fighter was not given a layup in Sanchez, and is in fact a heavy underdog. After two consecutive losses, Sanchez's stock has dropped like a rock but is there any shame in losing to Jon Fitch or Josh Koscheck? This is a fight made for Sanchez to win and I believe he will do so, recording a second round TKO. DoyelGregg Doyel: This fight is a clear sign of the UFC's affection for Sanchez, who is being served Bielkheden on a silver Swedish platter. Bielkheden has a pretty record, but his last two fights were against chumps making their professional debut. Curious. Sanchez is no chump, and after two straight losses and toying with the idea of dropping to 155, he'll be hungry to prove he belongs at 170. Bielkheden's nightmare ends early. TKO. MartinTodd Martin: After a pair of defeats to world class opponents, Sanchez gets an easier bout. The only question mark here is if Sanchez’s confidence took a hit in losing to Jon Fitch and Josh Koscheck. Sanchez may not turn in his best performance here, but he should take a step in the right direction with a decision victory. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: Coming off two straight losses, Sanchez needs a win to stay relevant and justify the hype the UFC built around him following his reality show win. That explains Bielkheden’s presence. He’s a mediocre, middle-of-the-pack fighter who’s likely being brought in to make Sanchez again look like the beast he was once rumored to be. Sanchez will oblige by finishing Bielkheden early.
 
Lightweight Bout:
JOHN HALVERSONvs.JORGE GURGEL
"The Hurricane"Nicknamen/a
35Age31
5-9Height5-9
16-5 (0-1 UFC)Record11-3 (2-2 UFC)
7KO/TKOs0
8Submissions9 (0 UFC)
3 winsStreak1 loss
def. Bryce Teager
Extreme Challenge 80
7/20/2007
Last Fightlost to Alvin Robinson
UFC 77
10/20/2007
Writers' Picks
BurkholderDenny Burkholder: Halverson's lone UFC fight was a 19-second TKO loss to Roger Huerta at UFC 67. Other than that, Halverson's record is good against no-name opponents and his wins are pretty evenly split between submissions and strikes. I'm betting on Gurgel to keep this one on the ground and find a way to submit Halverson in Round 2. CaplanSam Caplan: Gurgel had some momentum behind him following his win over Diego Saraiva at UFC 73 but lost it after being dominated by Alvin Robinson at UFC 77. I've said it before in this space, but Gurgel is a great jiu-jitsu player and a good fight trainer, but I just don't think he has the MMA skills needed to survive in a national promotion. Halverson will prove to be too tough of a matchup. After losing to Roger Huerta in just 19 seconds last February, Halverson returned to the regional scene where he's won three consecutive fights. I expect him to make it four wins in a row with a unanimous decision victory. DoyelGregg Doyel: Bias alert: I train at Gurgel's gym in Ohio. That said ... Halverson is a tomato can. His record has been fattened against a series of losing fighters, and every time he steps up in class he goes down. Gurgel wants to re-establish himself as a legitimate UFC fighter after a poor showing against Alvin Robinson, and he'll do that with a first-round submission. MartinTodd Martin: Gurgel on paper should win this fight, but he hasn’t looked impressive in a while. I’m tempted to pick Halverson to win with ground and pound, but I just don’t have enough confidence in him. So instead I’m picking Gurgel to win, albeit unimpressively again. FowlkesBen Fowlkes: Halverson is tough, but he hasn’t faced enough top competition for us to really know what he can do. Gurgel looked bad in his decision loss to Alvin Robinson. By the end he seemed like a man who was looking for quitting time and payday, and that’s worrisome. If Gurgel still has the fire in him, he should win this. The fact that it’s even a question should tell you something. I’ll take Halverson via late TKO or decision.
 
Writer's UFC Prediction Records for 2008:
Ordered from best to worst -- records through Feb. 27, 2008.
Ben Fowlkes: 19-8
Denny Burkholder: 16-11
Sam Caplan: 15-12
Gregg Doyel: 15-12
Todd Martin: 13-14
 

About the writers:
Denny Burkholder is the MMA and boxing producer and staff writer for CBSSports.com.
Sam Caplan is an MMA contributor for CBSSports.com and the publisher of FiveOuncesOfPain.com. He is also a writer/editor for ProElite.com and a contributor to the magazine FIGHT!
Gregg Doyel is a CBSSports.com national columnist, and will cover UFC 82 live from Columbus. Representing Jorge Gurgel's gym in Ohio, Doyel recently won his amateur boxing debut by TKO.
Todd Martin has covered mixed martial arts for the Los Angeles Times, Wrestling Observer, SI.com and CBSSports.com.
Ben Fowlkes is an MMA contributor for CBSSports.com and the publisher of TheFightingLife.com. He is also the editorial manager for the International Fight League.

 

 
 
 
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