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Strange race, indeed, but Heisman result will be predictable

This is the strangest season in Heisman Trophy history. That's a big statement, but I feel good about it. I feel so good about it, I'll take it one step farther and say this:

This is the strangest year the Heisman Trophy will ever have.

C.J. Spiller does it all, but he doesn't get the chance to do it often enough. (US Presswire)  
C.J. Spiller does it all, but he doesn't get the chance to do it often enough. (US Presswire)  
The strangeness starts wherever you want it to start. With past winners? Fine. We'll start with past winners. Never before has a college season seen two previous Heisman winners back in school, like this one had with Oklahoma's Sam Bradford (2008) and Florida's Tim Tebow (2007) -- and that's not even the weirdest part. The weirdest part is this: Neither guy deserves a trip to New York City as a 2009 finalist.

Bradford has been injured, obviously, while Tebow has not-so-obviously been far below Heisman-worthy. I say "not so obviously" because voters will still give him enough votes to go to New York City, and possibly they'll give him enough votes to win it. Voters are cute like that.

Meanwhile, in the land of actual thinking, it's apparent that Tebow is having a decent season, and that's all he's having. His team is having a great season, but the Heisman isn't a team award. His career has been outstanding, but the Heisman isn't a career achievement, either, except for when Wisconsin senior Ron Dayne won it in 1999 over Virginia Tech freshman Michael Vick. The Heisman is about one-year greatness, and in 2009 Tebow hasn't had it. He is throwing for 177 yards per game. He is rushing for 65 yards per game. He has thrown for 14 touchdowns and run for 11. He's having, as I said, a decent individual season. And decent individual seasons don't deserve the Heisman Trophy.

Neither does a spectacular month, which is too bad for Ole Miss' Dexter McCluster. His last month has been the best month of any player in the country, but it wasn't until Oct. 24 that Ole Miss coach Houston Nutt figured out he had the most dynamic player in the country on his own roster. In the six games before Oct. 24, McCluster averaged a little more than six carries and less than three catches per game.

But then someone else started calling the plays for the Rebels, because on Oct. 24 McCluster nearly matched his season totals with 123 yards rushing and 137 yards receiving. He has been on fire ever since, running for 186 yards against Auburn, 282 against Tennessee and 148 against LSU. In those three games he also has caught 11 passes, scored five touchdowns and even thrown for a TD against LSU.

Gregg Doyel's Heisman ballot ...

... if he had one:

1. Toby Gerhart

2. C.J. Spiller

3. (tie) Colt McCoy, Dexter McCluster

Heisman links

Heisman Hopefuls

Previous winners

The late-season onslaught means McCluster will finish with roughly 1,000 yards rushing and 40 catches for another 500 or so receiving yards, which are Heisman numbers in totality -- but not like this. McCluster can't win the Heisman based on four great games. Not after six invisible ones. Well done, Houston Nutt.

In lieu of McCluster's all-around greatness, Heisman voters would do well to go for the next-best thing, which has been Clemson's C.J. Spiller. He has scored a touchdown in almost every way conceivable -- running (seven TDs), receiving (four), returning a punt (one), returning a kickoff (three) and even throwing it himself (one). The most astonishing numbers in his favor are these: He will top 1,000 yards rushing but might not get 200 carries, and he has returned four of 28 total kicks -- 12 punts, 16 kickoffs -- for touchdowns. That's PlayStation production.

But will it be Heisman production? Voters won't know what to make of Spiller. He's a running back who ranks 51st nationally in rushing at 81.3 yards per game. He's a return specialist who is third in the country on kickoff runbacks but not among the top 60 on punts. He's a receiving threat who doesn't register in the national rankings in yards or catches. So what is he? He's the No. 3 all-purpose back in the country at 187.8 yards per game. Is that enough to get him to New York? Doubt it.

Poll
Who deserves to win the Heisman Trophy?
 
27%
Toby Gerhart
 
 
27%
Colt McCoy
 
 
22%
Tim Tebow
 
 
13%
Mark Ingram
 
 
5%
C.J. Spiller
 
 
4%
Case Keenum
 
 
3%
Dexter McCluster
 
Total Votes: 72201

But Texas quarterback Colt McCoy will get there, and he probably even should get there -- even if he is having one of the worst seasons of his career. Hey, look it up. McCoy has started four years at Texas, and his junior season (34 touchdown passes, eight interceptions) was by far his best. He had a better passer rating as a freshman, and more yardage as a sophomore. His current 73-percent completion rate is second only to 2008, but he is having his least productive season as a runner. All told, he's having a Heisman-kind of season, yet he has been much better. Strange, I'm telling you. This season is strange.

And if the winner is Stanford running back Toby Gerhart, that'll be strange in a whole new direction. He would be the first white running back to win since Penn State's John Cappelletti in 1973, and if that's an uncomfortable fact to be confronted with, take it up with all those people who have written in recent years -- and written correctly, I may add -- about the dearth of white running backs. Southern California wanted Gerhart to play linebacker, by the way. Just like USC did to Brian Cushing and Miami did to Dan Morgan. We'll never know what kind of college runners Cushing or Morgan would have made, but Gerhart has been the most consistent back in the country, and with 1,531 rushing yards and 23 touchdowns in 11 games, he has been consistently great.

Great enough for the Heisman? Sure, but this vote will be close and could be bizarre. Imagine Spiller winning the South and not garnering enough votes to get to New York City. Or Gerhart doing the same out West. The Heisman race mirrors the race to determine the national champion: If this many candidates have a shot at it, maybe nobody deserves it.

Which means it'll go to the voter default setting: best player on the best team. McCoy, Tebow or Alabama running back Mark Ingram will win the thing. So never mind all those fun facts and figures about this being the strangest Heisman season ever.

It'll be predictable like always. God I hate voters.

 
For more from Gregg Doyel, check him out on Twitter: @greggdoyelcbs
 

Talk Back
Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Feb 22, 2008

November 24, 2009 5:19 pm
Tebow is not the best player in college football this year. His numbers are nothing spectacular and the offense has been short of good. Playmakers are gone that helped him put up stats in previous years, but a great player still puts up better numbers than that. Travesty that he will probably be in New York. My top 3 are Ingram of Alabama, Keenum of Houston, and Gerhart of Stanford. McCoy has also ...(more)
Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Nov 29, 2006

November 29, 2009 1:23 pm
It's funny that those who seem most concerned about things like the Heisman, are those who are most politically left. It seems the more liberal the indiviudual, the more upset they get about these things. Whenever the left cannot "dictate" their desires to masses, and the result is left to the vote of majority, these folks come unglued. If the Heisman truly represents the best player, th ...(more)
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 17, 2006

November 24, 2009 1:25 pm
It does not have a real definition.    Why people pay attention to the Heisman more than the Golden Arm award for best College Quarterback, or the Outland Trophy for best lineman is beyond me.  

Because the Heisman appears to be the best player in college football that we like to talk about, that is a QB, or a Running back or in a pinch a Wide Receiver or a Kic
...(more)
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 24, 2006

November 24, 2009 8:07 pm
Perhaps many believe that Tebow does not deserve the Heisman award, but I have to disagree. Without Tebow, Florida may have won 7-8 games and going to an average bowl game. He is a real deal, a winner. Some think that he will not be a pro quarterback, but once again, I have to disagree. With his fast thinking and sttrong determination, he will probably be successful in most of his endeavors. All t ...(more)
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 30, 2008

November 24, 2009 3:16 pm
Like mentioned in the article, the Heisman Trophy is supposed to be about single season greatness. And while most people, according to years of Heisman Trophies being awarded, that Quarterback is the most important position on the field. No QB has been more important to their team than Houston's Case Keenum. He leads in both passing yards and touchdown passes at 4599, and 36 respectively. He has a ...(more)
Reputation:97
Level:Superstar
Since:Jun 22, 2008

November 25, 2009 11:01 am
   Doyel is just another CBS moron trying to create controversy.   Its funny to see idiots like him criticizing Heisman voters and then post such a moronic Heisman ballot.   Ill give an example.  What about Ryan Matthews of Fresno St?  Why Gerhart and not Matthews?  Matthews has only 40 less rushing yards on SEVENTY less carried than Gerhart.   ...(more)
Reputation:90
Level:All-Star
Since:Nov 26, 2008

November 29, 2009 10:28 am
  I watch a ton of College Football, and the player that has impressed me the most is Golden Tate.  The kid seems to have velcro for hands, no fear of anybody, and moves after the catch that are amazing.  Sure his team greatly underachieved, but is that his fault?  I say make it a Golden Heisman.   
Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Oct 13, 2006

November 29, 2009 3:46 am
Toby sealed the deal tonight, Ingram failed against a quality opponent. Ingram 30 rushing yards 0 td's, Toby 200+ yards rushing 30+ receiving and 3 rushing td's.
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Nov 28, 2008

November 24, 2009 1:04 pm
If we are going to talk about the guy from old miss that has and 4 good games lets talk about Tony Pike who has had played well all year execpt the game he was hurt and the one that he didnt play in. Heck the guy throw 2 when he played back up against WVU. I look for Tony Pike to have a big game against Illionis and hopefully people will see that UC is a legit team and we have one of the best QB's ...(more)
Reputation:88
Level:All-Star
Since:Jun 18, 2007

November 24, 2009 10:29 am

Ryan Mallett is way better than Tim Tebow.  Add Tebow's passig AND rushing yards together and he still doesn't have as many yards or TDs as Mallett does passign alone. Not only should Tebag not win the Heisman (or even be invited), he shouldn't even make 1st team All-SEC.  It is a joke that Tebow of Nazareth win anything this year.

I don't wanna hear the undefeated argument ...(more)

Reputation:90
Level:All-Star
Since:Sep 11, 2008

November 24, 2009 4:08 pm
You forgot to mention something else that Heisman voters always favor...SENIORS.  Until Tebow and Bradford, no sophomore or freshman had ever won the Heisman, and they won it because their statistics were ridiculously good.  Since this is a down year in terms of statistical performance, I don't doubt that the voters will start leaning toward senior Colt McCoy since he has had amazing yea ...(more)
Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Jul 19, 2009

November 24, 2009 11:46 pm
Toby Gerhart has TWO things working against him. Number one, he's a white running back. If you listen to the media...he's slow, he's an overacheiver, he won't amount to anything in the NFL, just like all white skill position players (according to the media). Number two, he plays on the west coast....an east coast bias runs rampant in college football, not to mention the fact that half of ...(more)
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 22, 2006

November 24, 2009 4:35 pm
I don't understand why Doyel would find it "strange" if Toby Gerhart wins the Heisman simply because he is white. I could understand if he had said Gerhart winning would be strange because he plays for Stanford which is not a traditional football powerhouse and although Gerhart and Stanford are having a great season there are other players who have done less but have gotten more exposure ...(more)
Reputation:92
Level:All-Star
Since:Mar 26, 2008

November 24, 2009 10:42 am
Why are you the only person who doesn't have Mark Ingram at the top (or even ON your ballot)?
Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 27, 2006

November 24, 2009 1:15 pm
Ingram has about as many rushing TDs as Tebow... and when you compare historically his entire season is about as remarkable as a 3-4 game stretch by guys like Troy Smith and Ricky Williams.

Yes, he's played well in big games but it helps that he's not touched until he gets into the secondary.

Also, I would ask pundits to revisit whether an in-conference game is a "big
...(more)
 
 
 
 
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